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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. ARI NYSE

NYSE • Real Estate • REIT - Mortgage • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
60/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$10.79
-2.5%
Analyst Price Target
$12.00
+8.4%

The estimated intrinsic value of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) using a Price-to-Funds From Operations (P/FFO) model is $10.79 (based on the recommended P/FFO method), compared to the current stock price of $11.07. This suggests the stock may be overvalued by 2.5% relative to its intrinsic value.

For Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), standard DCF models can be misleading because depreciation — a large non-cash charge — distorts net income. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Price-to-FFO (Funds From Operations) model: Intrinsic Value = FFO Per Share × 17 (sector-average P/FFO multiple). FFO adds back depreciation to net income, providing a more accurate picture of a REIT's recurring cash-generating ability — the industry-standard metric for REIT valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 7.44% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.52).

DCF-20 Year
ARI

Intrinsic Value Calculator — Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.

USD 11.07 ▼ 0.09%
FFO Per Share
USD
P/FFO Multiple
×
Formula: IV = FFO Per Share × P/FFO Multiple
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Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 11.07
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