The estimated intrinsic value of Home Point Capital Inc. (HMPT) using a Book Value × Return on Equity (P/B × ROE) model is $4.43 (based on the recommended P/B × ROE method), compared to the current stock price of $2.33. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 90.5% relative to its intrinsic value.

For banks and financial institutions, traditional DCF models are unreliable because cash flows are heavily influenced by lending and deposit activities. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Book Value × ROE model: Intrinsic Value = Book Value Per Share × (Return on Equity ÷ Cost of Equity) × Growth Adjustment. This approach values the firm based on how efficiently it generates returns on shareholders' equity relative to its cost of capital — the standard methodology used by institutional investors for bank valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 7.26% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.46). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $11,333.46 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $11,243.73.

• Aggressive growth rate from low-base recovery. The company's earnings are recovering from a very low or near-zero base, which produces an extremely high percentage growth rate (CAGR). Our model caps growth at 40%, but even this rate compounded over 20 years significantly inflates the Intrinsic Value (IV). Analysts typically use absolute earnings targets rather than extrapolating high recovery-phase growth rates, which is why their price target is much lower. Consider manually lowering the growth rate (g₁) to a more sustainable long-term level.
• Using Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) data. Our model is using the most recent four quarters of data, which may not yet reflect the full earnings trajectory that analysts are forecasting. If the company is in a growth phase, TTM cash flows may understate future potential.