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Hersha Hospitality Trust HT-PC NYSE

NYSE • Real Estate • REIT - Hotel & Motel • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
48/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$9.00
-64.1%

The estimated intrinsic value of Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT-PC) using a Price-to-Funds From Operations (P/FFO) model is $76.64 (based on the recommended P/FFO method), compared to the current stock price of $25.09. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 205.5% relative to its intrinsic value.

For Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), standard DCF models can be misleading because depreciation — a large non-cash charge — distorts net income. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Price-to-FFO (Funds From Operations) model: Intrinsic Value = FFO Per Share × 17 (sector-average P/FFO multiple). FFO adds back depreciation to net income, providing a more accurate picture of a REIT's recurring cash-generating ability — the industry-standard metric for REIT valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 7.73% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.82). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $5.46 | Net Income (NI): $3.54.

ℹ Why does our Intrinsic Value (IV) differ from analyst targets?
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates Intrinsic Value (IV) at $76.64, while the analyst consensus target is $9.00 — a 751.6% gap.
  • Operating Cash Flow (OCF) exceeds Net Income (NI) significantly. This is common with companies that have large Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) or depreciation charges. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model may be using a cash flow base that is higher than earnings, but the method choice matters — check the recommended method below.
  • High debt relative to cash flow. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model deducts net debt from the present value of future cash flows, which significantly reduces equity value per share. Analyst price targets typically do not subtract debt in the same way.
  • Using Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) data. Our model is using the most recent four quarters of data, which may not yet reflect the full earnings trajectory that analysts are forecasting. If the company is in a growth phase, TTM cash flows may understate future potential.
Tip: Try adjusting the growth rate and discount rate below to see how different assumptions affect the valuation.
DCF-20 Year
HT-PC

Intrinsic Value Calculator — Hersha Hospitality Trust

USD 25.09 ▲ 0.04%
FFO Per Share
USD
P/FFO Multiple
×
Formula: IV = FFO Per Share × P/FFO Multiple
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Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 25.09
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