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MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. MOFG NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Financial Services • Banks - Regional • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
29/100
0/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$31.25
-36.6%

The estimated intrinsic value of MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (MOFG) using a Book Value × Return on Equity (P/B × ROE) model is $18.96 (based on the recommended P/B × ROE method), compared to the current stock price of $49.31. This suggests the stock may be overvalued by 61.5% relative to its intrinsic value.

For banks and financial institutions, traditional DCF models are unreliable because cash flows are heavily influenced by lending and deposit activities. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Book Value × ROE model: Intrinsic Value = Book Value Per Share × (Return on Equity ÷ Cost of Equity) × Growth Adjustment. This approach values the firm based on how efficiently it generates returns on shareholders' equity relative to its cost of capital — the standard methodology used by institutional investors for bank valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 5.94% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.06). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $440.07 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $435.72 | Net Income (NI): $410.50.

ℹ Why does our Intrinsic Value (IV) differ from analyst targets?
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates Intrinsic Value (IV) at $18.96, while the analyst consensus target is $31.25 — a 39.3% gap.
  • Conservative growth rate assumption. Our model uses analyst consensus earnings growth estimates, which may be lower than what the market is pricing in. If the market expects faster growth than the consensus, the analyst price target will be higher than our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation.
  • Using Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) data. Our model is using the most recent four quarters of data, which may not yet reflect the full earnings trajectory that analysts are forecasting. If the company is in a growth phase, TTM cash flows may understate future potential.
Tip: Try adjusting the growth rate and discount rate below to see how different assumptions affect the valuation.
DCF-20 Year
MOFG

Intrinsic Value Calculator — MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc.

USD 49.31 ▲ 2.35%
Book Value Per Share (BVPS)
USD
Average Return on Equity (ROE)
%
Cost of Equity / Discount Rate
%
Analyst Growth Rate (g₁)
%
Growth Adj = 1 + min(g₁, 15%) ÷ 200 = 1.0377
Formula: IV = BVPS × (ROE ÷ CoE) × Growth Adj
Undervalued Overvalued
Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 49.31
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