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New Jersey Resources Corporation NJR NYSE

NYSE • Utilities • Regulated Gas • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
50/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$62.50
+11.4%
Analyst Price Target
$54.00
-3.7%

The estimated intrinsic value of New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) using a Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is $62.50 (based on the recommended DDM method), compared to the current stock price of $56.09. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 11.4% relative to its intrinsic value.

For utility companies, which are valued primarily for their stable and predictable dividend streams, SharesGrow uses a Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Intrinsic Value = Annual Dividend ÷ (Cost of Equity − Dividend Growth Rate). This model assumes a long-term dividend growth rate of 4% — consistent with the historical average for regulated utilities — and uses a minimum 7% cost of equity. The DDM is the preferred valuation method for income-oriented stocks with stable payout histories.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 4.29% (CAPM-derived from beta of 0.56). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $65.63 | Net Income (NI): $28.90.

DCF-20 Year
NJR

Intrinsic Value Calculator — New Jersey Resources Corporation

USD 56.09 ▲ 0.20%
Annual Dividend
USD
Cost of Equity (min 7%)
%
Dividend Growth Rate
%
Formula: IV = Dividend ÷ (CoE − Growth Rate)
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Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 56.09
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