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First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. FWRG NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
63/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$62.33
+439.2%
Analyst Price Target
$19.00
+64.4%

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) is a Restaurants company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, currently trading at $11.56. It has a SharesGrow Score of 63/100, indicating a above average investment profile with 4 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of FWRG = $62.33 (+439.2% from the current price, the stock appears undervalued). Analyst consensus target is FWRG = $19 (+64.4% upside).

Valuation: FWRG trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 37.6 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 0.64.

Financials: revenue is $1.2B, +18.8%/yr average growth. Net income is $19M, growing at +81.6%/yr. Net profit margin is 1.6% (thin). Gross margin is 13% (-6.1 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $740M against $626M equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 1.18, moderate). Current ratio is 0.29 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 42.5%. Total assets: $1.7B.

Analyst outlook: 12 / 14 analysts rate FWRG as buy (86%) — strong consensus.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 88/100 (Pass), Growth 90/100 (Pass), Past 100/100 (Pass), Health 17/100 (Fail), Moat 25/100 (Fail), Future 94/100 (Pass), Income 30/100 (Fail).

$19.00
▲ 64.36% Upside
Average Price Target
The 12-month price target for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is $19.00.

FWRG SharesGrow Score Overview

63/100
SharesGrow Score
Above average fundamentals
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VALUE 88/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 90/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 100/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 17/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 25/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 94/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 30/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — FWRG

VALUE Pass
88/100
FWRG trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 37.6 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 0.64 — Peter Lynch undervalued (≤1.0). Trailing PEG 0.13. Analyst consensus target is $19, implying +64.4% from the current price $12. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Pass
90/100
FWRG: +18.8%/yr revenue is, +81.6%/yr Net income is average growth. > 5%/yr — strong. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Pass
100/100
FWRG: 4 / 4 years profitable. strong — 100%. Score = 4 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
17/100
Balance sheet FWRG: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 1.18 (moderate), Current ratio is 0.29 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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MOAT Fail
25/100
FWRG: Gross margin is 13% (-6.1 pp trend), N/A market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 25/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Pass
94/100
Analyst outlook: 12 / 14 analysts rate FWRG as buy (86%). Analyst consensus target is $19 (+64.4% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Fail
30/100
FWRG: Net profit margin is 1.6%. thin (0-5%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range10.09-20.55
Volume1.18M
Avg Volume (30D)1.77M
Market Cap$706.76M
Beta (1Y)0.98
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.32
Shares Outstanding$60.96M
IPO Date2021-10-01
Employees15,000
CEOChristopher A. Tomasso
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$1.22B
Gross Profit$159.44M
EBITDA$108.78M
Net Income$19.43M
Operating Income$33.77M
Total Cash$21.25M
Total Debt$739.6M
Net Debt$718.35M
Total Assets$1.74B
Price / Earnings (P/E)36.1
Price / Sales (P/S)0.58
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$19.00
Target High$19.00
Target Low$19.00
Upside+64.4%
Rating ConsensusBuy
Analysts Covering14
Buy 86% Hold 14% Sell 0%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ Global Select
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS33748L1017

Price Chart

FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.  ·  NASDAQ Global Select
Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants
10.09 52WK RANGE 20.55
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