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Lumentum Holdings Inc. LITE NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Technology • Communication Equipment • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
37/100
0/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$349.91
-59%
Analyst Price Target
$471.36
-44.7%

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) is a Communication Equipment company in the Technology sector, currently trading at $852.79. It has a SharesGrow Score of 37/100, indicating a weak investment profile with 0 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of LITE = $349.91 (-59% from the current price, the stock appears overvalued). Analyst consensus target is LITE = $471 (-44.7% upside).

Valuation: LITE trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 267.8 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 2.58.

Financials: revenue is $1.6B, +0.4%/yr average growth. Net income is $26M, growing at -125.6%/yr. Net profit margin is 1.6% (thin). Gross margin is 28% (-18 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $2.6B against $1.1B equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 2.3, leveraged). Current ratio is 4.37 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 61.8%. Total assets: $4.2B.

Analyst outlook: 17 / 24 analysts rate LITE as buy (71%) — strong consensus.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 24/100 (Fail), Growth 30/100 (Fail), Past 50/100 (Partial), Health 33/100 (Fail), Moat 44/100 (Fail), Future 49/100 (Partial), Income 30/100 (Fail).

$471.36
▼ 44.73% Downside
Average Price Target
Based on 24 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Lumentum Holdings Inc., the average price target is $471.36, with a high forecast of $800.00, and a low forecast of $220.00.
Highest Price Target
$800.00
Average Price Target
$471.36
Lowest Price Target
$220.00

LITE SharesGrow Score Overview

37/100
SharesGrow Score
Below average — proceed with caution
View full scorecard →
VALUE 24/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 30/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 50/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 33/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 44/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 49/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 30/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — LITE

VALUE Fail
24/100
LITE trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 267.8 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 2.58 — overvalued. Trailing PEG 2.16. Analyst consensus target is $471, implying -44.8% from the current price $853. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Fail
30/100
LITE: +0.4%/yr revenue is, -125.6%/yr Net income is average growth. mixed. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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~
PAST Partial
50/100
LITE: 2 / 4 years profitable. weak. Score = 2 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
33/100
Balance sheet LITE: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 2.3 (leveraged), Current ratio is 4.37 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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MOAT Fail
44/100
LITE: Gross margin is 28% (-18 pp trend), $61B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 44/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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~
FUTURE Partial
49/100
Analyst outlook: 17 / 24 analysts rate LITE as buy (71%). Analyst consensus target is $471 (-44.8% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Fail
30/100
LITE: Net profit margin is 1.6%. thin (0-5%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range47.05-827.56
Volume5.38M
Avg Volume (30D)6.74M
Market Cap$60.89B
Beta (1Y)1.39
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.38
Shares Outstanding$69M
IPO Date2015-07-23
Employees7,257
CEOMichael E. Hurlston
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$1.65B
Gross Profit$459.9M
EBITDA$106.8M
Net Income$25.9M
Operating Income$-180.1M
Total Cash$877.1M
Total Debt$2.61B
Net Debt$2.09B
Total Assets$4.22B
Price / Earnings (P/E)2244.2
Price / Sales (P/S)37.01
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$475.00
Target High$800.00
Target Low$220.00
Upside-44.3%
Rating ConsensusBuy
Analysts Covering24
Buy 71% Hold 29% Sell 0%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ Global Select
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS55024U1097

Price Chart

LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.  ·  NASDAQ Global Select
Technology • Communication Equipment
47.05 52WK RANGE 827.56
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