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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. LOCO NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
51/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$15.95
+14.8%
Analyst Price Target
$12.25
-11.8%

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) is a Restaurants company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, currently trading at $13.89. It has a SharesGrow Score of 51/100, indicating a mixed investment profile with 1 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of LOCO = $15.95 (+14.8% from the current price, the stock appears fairly valued). Analyst consensus target is LOCO = $12 (-11.8% upside).

Valuation: LOCO trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 15.3 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 1.11.

Financials: revenue is $490M, +1.4%/yr average growth. Net income is $26M, growing at +8.8%/yr. Net profit margin is 5.4% (thin). Gross margin is 28.6% (+10.8 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $240M against $291M equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 0.82, moderate). Current ratio is 0.08 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 39.5%. Total assets: $607M.

Analyst outlook: 5 / 12 analysts rate LOCO as buy (42%) — mixed sentiment.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 52/100 (Partial), Growth 55/100 (Partial), Past 100/100 (Pass), Health 50/100 (Partial), Moat 37/100 (Fail), Future 16/100 (Fail), Income 45/100 (Partial).

$12.25
▼ 11.81% Downside
Average Price Target
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., the average price target is $12.25, with a high forecast of $13.50, and a low forecast of $11.00.
Highest Price Target
$13.50
Average Price Target
$12.25
Lowest Price Target
$11.00

LOCO SharesGrow Score Overview

51/100
SharesGrow Score
Mixed signals — some strengths
View full scorecard →
VALUE 52/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 55/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 100/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 50/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 37/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 16/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 45/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — LOCO

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VALUE Partial
52/100
LOCO trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 15.3 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 1.11 — ~moderate (~1.5). Trailing PEG 6.74. Analyst consensus target is $12, implying -13.6% from the current price $14. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Partial
55/100
LOCO: +1.4%/yr revenue is, +8.8%/yr Net income is average growth. mixed. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Pass
100/100
LOCO: 4 / 4 years profitable. strong — 100%. Score = 4 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Partial
50/100
Balance sheet LOCO: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 0.82 (moderate), Current ratio is 0.08 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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MOAT Fail
37/100
LOCO: Gross margin is 28.6% (+10.8 pp trend), N/A market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 37/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Fail
16/100
Analyst outlook: 5 / 12 analysts rate LOCO as buy (42%). Analyst consensus target is $12 (-13.6% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Partial
45/100
LOCO: Net profit margin is 5.4%. thin (5-15%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range8.29-14.5
Volume148.44K
Avg Volume (30D)302K
Market Cap$416.09M
Beta (1Y)0.78
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.91
Shares Outstanding$29.26M
IPO Date2014-07-25
Employees4,000
CEOElizabeth Goodwin Williams
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$490.05M
Gross Profit$140.35M
EBITDA$58.43M
Net Income$26.49M
Operating Income$42.46M
Total Cash$6.23M
Total Debt$239.57M
Net Debt$233.34M
Total Assets$606.65M
Price / Earnings (P/E)15.3
Price / Sales (P/S)0.85
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$12.25
Target High$13.50
Target Low$11.00
Upside-11.8%
Rating ConsensusHold
Analysts Covering12
Buy 42% Hold 58% Sell 0%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ Global Select
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS2686031079

Price Chart

LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.  ·  NASDAQ Global Select
Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants
8.29 52WK RANGE 14.50
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