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Alico, Inc. ALCO NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Consumer Defensive • Agricultural Farm Products • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
37/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$195.69
+354.6%
Analyst Price Target
$42.00
-2.4%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Alico, Inc. (ALCO) has a negative trailing P/E of -2.4, meaning the company is currently unprofitable on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis. The forward P/E of 9.8 based on analyst estimates suggests a return to profitability is expected. Trailing earnings yield is -41.34%, forward earnings yield 10.22%. PEG 0.36 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0).

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (35/100, Fail) — negative P/E indicates the company is currently operating at a loss — DCF and P/E-based valuation models cannot produce meaningful results for unprofitable companies (P/E -2.4); trailing earnings yield is below the 10-year Treasury yield (~4.3%), meaning bonds offer a better return (EY -41.34%).
  • Forward P/E 9.8 — analysts expect a return to profitability with estimated EPS of $4.40 for FY2028.
  • PEG Ratio 0.36 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield -41.34% — negative yield confirms the company is currently unprofitable. Investors are paying for a turnaround rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 10.22% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $42.00 (-2.4% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 37/100 with 1/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
37/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
35/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
74/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
~
PAST
75/100
→ Income
~
HEALTH
50/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
0/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
10/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — ALCO

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)-2.4
Forward P/E9.8
PEG Ratio0.36
Forward PEG0.36
P/B Ratio3.44
P/S Ratio11.80
EV/EBITDA79.5
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$-18.51
Forward EPS (Est.)$4.40
Book Value / Share$13.65
Revenue / Share$3.80
FCF / Share$2.52
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield-41.34%
Forward Earnings Yield10.22%
Dividend Yield0.45%
SharesGrow IV$195.69 (+354.6%)
Analyst Target$42.00 (-2.4%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 31.9 -0.56 1.29 1.55 0.89%
2017 -30.0 0.13 1.76 2.18 0.70%
2018 21.2 -0.09 1.61 3.41 0.71%
2019 6.7 0.03 1.31 2.08 0.72%
2020 9.1 -0.24 0.99 2.32 1.15%
2021 7.4 0.16 1.05 2.37 2.77%
2022 17.1 -0.27 0.88 2.32 7.07%
2023 103.4 -1.21 0.77 4.76 2.60%
2024 30.6 0.11 0.85 4.57 0.71%
2025 -1.8 0.00 2.57 6.01 0.58%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $0.84 $144.2M $6.99M 4.8%
2017 $-1.14 $129.83M $-9.45M -7.3%
2018 $1.57 $81.28M $13.05M 16.1%
2019 $5.05 $122.25M $37.83M 30.9%
2020 $3.16 $92.51M $23.66M 25.6%
2021 $4.64 $108.56M $34.86M 32.1%
2022 $1.65 $91.95M $12.46M 13.6%
2023 $0.24 $39.85M $1.84M 4.6%
2024 $0.91 $46.64M $6.97M 14.9%
2025 $-19.29 $44.07M $-147.33M -334.3%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $-0.06 $-0.06 – $-0.05 $7.05M $6.18M – $7.92M 1
2027 $-0.82 $-0.95 – $-0.68 $4.9M $4.3M – $5.5M 1
2028 $4.40 $3.70 – $5.10 $4.7M $4.12M – $5.28M 1
2029 $6.67 $5.60 – $7.74 $6.19M $5.43M – $6.95M 1
2030 $7.08 $5.95 – $8.21 $7.82M $6.85M – $8.78M 1
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