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Blue Bird Corporation BLBD NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Market • Consumer Cyclical • Auto - Manufacturers • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
73/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$135.64
+109%
Analyst Price Target
$69.67
+7.3%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) trades at a trailing P/E of 15.1, forward P/E of 14.3. Trailing earnings yield is 6.61%, forward earnings yield 7.00%. PEG 0.66 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $28.01.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (53/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
  • Forward P/E 14.3 (down from trailing 15.1) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.66 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 6.61% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 7.00% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $69.67 (+7.3% upside) — modest upside expected.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 73/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
73/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
~
VALUE
53/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
88/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
~
PAST
75/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
53/100
→ Income
GROWTH
100/100
→ Income
~
INCOME
45/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — BLBD

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)15.1
Forward P/E14.3
PEG Ratio0.66
Forward PEG0.84
P/B Ratio7.23
P/S Ratio1.30
EV/EBITDA9.2
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$4.08
Forward EPS (Est.)$4.54
Book Value / Share$8.54
Revenue / Share$47.18
FCF / Share$5.12
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield6.61%
Forward Earnings Yield7.00%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Graham Number$28.01
SharesGrow IV$135.64 (+109%)
Analyst Target$69.67 (+7.3%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 45.0 -0.59 -3.57 0.33 0.93%
2017 16.7 0.04 -8.22 0.49 0.89%
2018 22.7 0.62 -24.74 0.68 0.27%
2019 20.7 -1.40 -7.43 0.49 -
2020 26.6 -0.41 -6.08 0.37 -
2021 -2,002.1 18.40 -17.72 0.85 -
2022 -5.7 0.00 187.42 0.32 -
2023 28.9 -0.19 17.18 0.61 -
2024 14.8 0.04 9.80 1.16 -
2025 14.5 0.64 7.23 1.25 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $0.14 $932.01M $6.9M 0.7%
2017 $0.74 $990.6M $28.8M 2.9%
2018 $1.08 $1.02B $30.82M 3%
2019 $0.90 $1.02B $24.3M 2.4%
2020 $0.33 $879.22M $8.97M 1%
2021 $-0.03 $684M $-787K -0.1%
2022 $-1.34 $800.64M $-41.6M -5.2%
2023 $0.74 $1.13B $23.81M 2.1%
2024 $3.16 $1.35B $105.55M 7.8%
2025 $3.88 $1.48B $127.72M 8.6%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $4.54 $4.34 – $4.73 $1.5B $1.49B – $1.53B 4
2027 $4.93 $4.66 – $5.20 $1.58B $1.56B – $1.6B 3
2028 $5.24 $5.14 – $5.35 $1.69B $1.68B – $1.69B 2
2029 $5.97 $5.89 – $6.08 $1.84B $1.82B – $1.86B 1
2030 $6.72 $6.63 – $6.84 $1.94B $1.92B – $1.96B 1
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