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Fossil Group, Inc. FOSL NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Consumer Cyclical • Luxury Goods • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
38/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$7.00
+31.1%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) has a negative trailing P/E of -3.7, meaning the company is currently unprofitable on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis. The forward P/E of 56.2 based on analyst estimates suggests a return to profitability is expected. Trailing earnings yield is -27.28%, forward earnings yield 1.78%.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (97/100, Pass) — analyst target implies upside (+31.1%).
  • Forward P/E 56.2 — analysts expect a return to profitability with estimated EPS of $0.10 for FY2028.
  • Trailing Earnings Yield -27.28% — negative yield confirms the company is currently unprofitable. Investors are paying for a turnaround rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 1.78% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $7.00 (+31.1% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 38/100 with 1/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
38/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
97/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
FUTURE
52/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
0/100
→ Income
HEALTH
33/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
62/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
10/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — FOSL

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)-3.7
Forward P/E56.2
PEG RatioN/A
Forward PEGN/A
P/B Ratio2.79
P/S Ratio0.31
EV/EBITDA41.3
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$-1.45
Forward EPS (Est.)$0.10
Book Value / Share$1.60
Revenue / Share$18.57
FCF / Share$-1.12
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield-27.28%
Forward Earnings Yield1.78%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Analyst Target$7.00 (+31.1%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 15.8 -0.25 1.23 0.41 -
2017 -0.8 0.00 0.65 0.14 -
2018 -222.5 2.24 1.31 0.30 -
2019 -7.6 -0.01 0.79 0.18 -
2020 -4.6 -0.05 1.01 0.27 -
2021 21.0 -0.17 1.15 0.29 -
2022 -5.1 0.02 0.55 0.13 -
2023 -0.5 0.00 0.30 0.05 -
2024 -0.9 0.02 0.59 0.08 -
2026 -2.6 0.10 2.01 0.21 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $1.63 $3.04B $78.9M 2.6%
2017 $-9.87 $2.79B $-478.2M -17.2%
2018 $-0.07 $2.54B $-3.5M -0.1%
2019 $-1.00 $2.22B $-50M -2.3%
2020 $-1.88 $1.61B $-95.9M -5.9%
2021 $0.48 $1.87B $25.43M 1.4%
2022 $-0.84 $1.68B $-43.5M -2.6%
2023 $-3.00 $1.41B $-157.09M -11.1%
2024 $-1.94 $1.14B $-102.67M -9%
2025 $-1.45 $1B $-78.3M -7.8%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $-3.98 $-3.99 – $-3.96 $973.15M $970.07M – $976.23M 1
2027 $-0.48 $-0.48 – $-0.48 $948.55M $945.55M – $951.55M 1
2028 $0.10 $0.09 – $0.10 $964.32M $961.27M – $967.37M 1
2029 $-2.28 $-2.29 – $-2.27 $1.51B $1.5B – $1.51B 1
2030 $-1.14 $-1.14 – $-1.14 $1.58B $1.58B – $1.59B 1
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