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Moderna, Inc. MRNA NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Healthcare • Biotechnology • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
42/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$35.67
-32.5%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) has a negative trailing P/E of -7.1, meaning the company is currently unprofitable on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis. The forward P/E of 19.6 based on analyst estimates suggests a return to profitability is expected. Trailing earnings yield is -14.00%, forward earnings yield 5.10%.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (63/100, Pass) — composite valuation score exceeds the 60/100 pass threshold.
  • Forward P/E 19.6 — analysts expect a return to profitability with estimated EPS of $2.69 for FY2030.
  • Trailing Earnings Yield -14.00% — negative yield confirms the company is currently unprofitable. Investors are paying for a turnaround rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 5.10% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $35.67 (-32.5% downside) — analysts see meaningful downside risk at the current price level.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 42/100 with 2/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
42/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
63/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
16/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
25/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
65/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
10/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — MRNA

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)-7.1
Forward P/E19.6
PEG RatioN/A
Forward PEGN/A
P/B Ratio2.33
P/S Ratio10.45
EV/EBITDA-7.7
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$-7.20
Forward EPS (Est.)$2.69
Book Value / Share$22.07
Revenue / Share$4.96
FCF / Share$-5.24
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield-14.00%
Forward Earnings Yield5.10%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Analyst Target$35.67 (-32.5%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 -5.5 0.00 1.42 11.00 0.05%
2017 -27.3 0.34 11.18 33.98 0.02%
2018 -13.1 -0.21 3.28 37.17 -
2019 -12.6 -0.39 5.51 107.47 -
2020 -53.3 -2.02 15.56 49.59 -
2021 8.4 -0.01 7.24 5.77 -
2022 8.5 -0.28 3.70 3.75 -
2023 -8.1 0.05 2.74 5.55 -
2024 -4.5 0.18 1.46 4.99 -
2025 -4.1 0.19 1.33 5.90 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $-0.58 $101.54M $-216.21M -212.9%
2017 $-0.68 $176.97M $-255.92M -144.6%
2018 $-4.74 $122.51M $-384.73M -314%
2019 $-1.55 $48.04M $-514.02M -1070.1%
2020 $-1.96 $274.49M $-747.06M -272.2%
2021 $28.31 $17.74B $12.2B 68.8%
2022 $20.10 $19.26B $8.36B 43.4%
2023 $-12.34 $6.85B $-4.71B -68.8%
2024 $-9.27 $3.24B $-3.56B -110%
2025 $-7.26 $1.94B $-2.82B -145.2%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $-6.39 $-8.49 – $-4.79 $2.08B $1.94B – $2.22B 16
2027 $-4.59 $-6.10 – $-0.11 $2.5B $1.84B – $4.31B 15
2028 $-2.90 $-6.17 – $0.69 $3.15B $3.12B – $3.18B 15
2029 $-0.03 $-0.05 – $-0.02 $5.01B $4.02B – $7.46B 10
2030 $2.66 $1.98 – $4.35 $6.64B $5.33B – $9.89B 6
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