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Novavax, Inc. NVAX NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Healthcare • Biotechnology • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
81/100
6/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$32.02
+281.6%
Analyst Price Target
$14.50
+72.8%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) trades at a trailing P/E of 3.1, forward P/E of 32.5. Trailing earnings yield is 32.48%, forward earnings yield 3.08%. PEG 0.38 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0).

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (100/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (3.1); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.38); analyst target implies upside (+72.8%); earnings yield beats bond yields (32.48%).
  • PEG Ratio 0.38 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 32.48% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income.
  • Analyst consensus target $14.50 (+72.8% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 81/100 with 6/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
81/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
100/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
85/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
25/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
74/100
→ Income
GROWTH
83/100
→ Income
INCOME
100/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — NVAX

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)3.1
Forward P/E32.5
PEG Ratio0.38
Forward PEG0.38
P/B Ratio-10.61
P/S Ratio1.21
EV/EBITDA2.8
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$2.72
Forward EPS (Est.)$0.26
Book Value / Share$-0.79
Revenue / Share$6.94
FCF / Share$-1.55
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield32.48%
Forward Earnings Yield3.08%
Dividend Yield0.00%
SharesGrow IV$32.02 (+281.6%)
Analyst Target$14.50 (+72.8%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 -1.2 -0.02 -61.52 22.22 -
2017 -2.0 0.05 -3.57 11.64 -
2018 -3.7 0.18 -4.05 19.84 -
2019 -0.7 0.02 -0.52 5.14 -
2020 -15.3 -0.41 10.23 286.66 -
2021 -6.1 -0.03 -30.27 53.87 -
2022 -1.2 0.02 -1.27 0.50 -
2023 -0.9 0.02 -0.67 0.87 -
2024 -6.5 0.08 -1.96 1.79 -
2025 2.5 -0.01 -8.52 0.97 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $-20.68 $15.35M $-279.97M -1823.5%
2017 $-12.56 $31.18M $-183.77M -589.5%
2018 $-9.99 $34.29M $-184.75M -538.8%
2019 $-5.40 $18.66M $-130.1M -697.1%
2020 $-7.43 $475.6M $-427.51M -89.9%
2021 $-23.44 $1.15B $-1.74B -152.1%
2022 $-8.42 $1.6B $-657.94M -41.1%
2023 $-5.41 $556.38M $-545.06M -98%
2024 $-1.23 $682.16M $-187.5M -27.5%
2025 $2.54 $1.12B $440.3M 39.2%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $-0.36 $-6.16 – $8.88 $399.79M $310.2M – $448.42M 8
2027 $-0.33 $-0.79 – $-0.09 $254.48M $117.86M – $331.42M 7
2028 $0.26 $-0.52 – $0.97 $350.42M $344.66M – $356.18M 5
2029 $0.33 $0.16 – $0.48 $352.52M $213.88M – $475.19M 1
2030 $0.90 $0.44 – $1.30 $453.89M $275.39M – $611.83M 1
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