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The Simply Good Foods Company SMPL NASDAQ

NASDAQ Capital Marke • Consumer Defensive • Packaged Foods • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
75/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$22.75
+99.7%
Analyst Price Target
$27.00
+137.1%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) has a negative trailing P/E of -10.3, meaning the company is currently unprofitable on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis. The forward P/E of 6.7 based on analyst estimates suggests a return to profitability is expected. Trailing earnings yield is -9.73%, forward earnings yield 14.97%. PEG 0.10 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0).

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (100/100, Pass) — PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.10); analyst target implies upside (+137.1%).
  • Forward P/E 6.7 — analysts expect a return to profitability with estimated EPS of $1.71 for FY2026.
  • PEG Ratio 0.10 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield -9.73% — negative yield confirms the company is currently unprofitable. Investors are paying for a turnaround rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 14.97% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $27.00 (+137.1% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 75/100 with 4/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
75/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
100/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
73/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
51/100
→ Income
~
GROWTH
55/100
→ Income
~
INCOME
45/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — SMPL

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)-10.3
Forward P/E6.7
PEG Ratio0.10
Forward PEG0.10
P/B Ratio0.73
P/S Ratio0.79
EV/EBITDA-8.1
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$-1.14
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.71
Book Value / Share$16.13
Revenue / Share$15.34
FCF / Share$1.89
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield-9.73%
Forward Earnings Yield14.97%
Dividend Yield0.00%
SharesGrow IV$22.75 (+99.7%)
Analyst Target$27.00 (+137.1%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 -698.2 7.14 0.34 0.31 -
2017 -412.3 -6.11 1.40 2.12 -
2018 18.0 -0.01 1.89 2.94 -
2019 -100.1 0.64 3.54 4.82 -
2020 36.3 -0.16 2.09 2.92 -
2021 82.8 5.11 2.85 3.37 -
2022 28.7 0.18 2.16 2.66 -
2023 25.7 1.18 2.18 2.76 -
2024 22.7 6.07 1.83 2.37 -
2025 27.8 -1.07 1.60 1.99 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $-0.02 $427.86M $-193K -0%
2017 $-0.03 $396.17M $-2.04M -0.5%
2018 $0.51 $431.43M $37.39M 8.7%
2019 $-0.30 $523.76M $-25.23M -4.8%
2020 $0.35 $816.64M $65.64M 8%
2021 $0.42 $1.01B $40.88M 4.1%
2022 $1.08 $1.17B $108.57M 9.3%
2023 $1.32 $1.24B $133.58M 10.7%
2024 $1.38 $1.33B $139.31M 10.5%
2025 $1.02 $1.45B $103.61M 7.1%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $1.93 $1.85 – $1.99 $1.45B $1.43B – $1.47B 5
2027 $2.15 $1.91 – $2.39 $1.5B $1.46B – $1.54B 5
2028 $2.22 $2.17 – $2.27 $1.55B $1.54B – $1.56B 2
2029 $2.25 $2.18 – $2.31 $1.59B $1.55B – $1.62B 1
2030 $2.16 $2.10 – $2.22 $1.56B $1.52B – $1.6B 1
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