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Microsoft Corporation MSFT NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Technology • Software - Infrastructure • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
89/100
7/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$911.60
+131.9%
Analyst Price Target
$583.67
+48.5%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) 当前追踪市盈率 (P/E) 为 23.0, 前瞻市盈率为 23.8. 追踪盈利收益率为 4.35%, 前瞻盈利收益率 4.20%. PEG 1.47. 格雷厄姆数为 $137.82.

本页证实的标准:

  • VALUE (72/100, 通过) — 市盈率低于市场平均水平 (23.0); 分析师目标价暗示上行空间 (+48.5%); 盈利收益率超过债券收益率 (4.35%).
  • PEG 比率 1.47 — 介于1.0–2.0之间,表明相对于增长的估值适中。
  • 追踪盈利收益率 4.35% — 与债券收益率(约4.3%)大致持平,风险回报适中。
  • 分析师共识目标价 $583.67 (+48.5% 上行空间) — 华尔街分析师认为存在显著上行潜力。

SharesGrow 综合评分: 89/100 其中 7/7 项标准通过。

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
89/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
价值
72/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
未來
94/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
过去
100/100
→ Income
健康
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
护城河
96/100
→ Income
成长
80/100
→ Income
收入
100/100
→ Income

估值概览 — MSFT

估值倍数
P/E (TTM)23.0
前瞻 P/E23.8
PEG 比率1.47
前瞻 PEG1.13
P/B 比率7.02
P/S 比率8.98
EV/EBITDA14.8
每股数据
EPS (TTM)$16.05
前瞻 EPS(预估)$16.50
每股账面价值$52.60
每股营收$41.11
每股自由现金流$10.42
收益率与内在价值
盈利收益率4.35%
Forward Earnings Yield4.20%
股息收益率0.94%
格雷厄姆数$137.82
SharesGrow 内在价值$911.60 (+131.9%)
分析师目标价$583.67 (+48.5%)

历史估值

Year P/E (TTM) PEG 比率 P/B 比率 P/S 比率 股息收益率
2016 19.7 0.47 5.63 4.45 2.71%
2017 20.9 0.38 6.09 5.53 2.22%
2018 45.8 -1.32 9.18 6.88 1.67%
2019 26.5 0.19 10.17 8.27 1.33%
2020 35.0 2.52 13.09 10.83 0.98%
2021 33.4 0.84 14.40 12.16 0.81%
2022 26.5 1.36 11.56 9.71 0.94%
2023 35.0 169.95 12.30 11.97 0.78%
2024 38.5 1.75 12.64 13.85 0.64%
2025 36.3 2.34 10.76 13.12 0.65%

EPS:实际 vs 预期

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

每股收益 (EPS) 历史

Year EPS(稀释) 营收 净利润 净利润率
2016 $2.10 $91.15B $20.54B 22.5%
2017 $2.71 $96.57B $25.49B 26.4%
2018 $2.13 $110.36B $16.57B 15%
2019 $5.06 $125.84B $39.24B 31.2%
2020 $5.76 $143.02B $44.28B 31%
2021 $8.05 $168.09B $61.27B 36.5%
2022 $9.65 $198.27B $72.74B 36.7%
2023 $9.68 $211.92B $72.36B 34.1%
2024 $11.80 $245.12B $88.14B 36%
2025 $13.64 $281.72B $101.83B 36.1%

分析师预期

Year EPS(平均) EPS 范围 营收(平均) 营收范围 分析师人数
2026 $16.50 $16.01 – $16.80 $327.59B $324.55B – $329.69B 27
2027 $19.01 $16.89 – $20.18 $378.05B $362.88B – $385.38B 31
2028 $22.51 $19.84 – $27.68 $440.19B $440.11B – $440.27B 18
2029 $26.76 $25.46 – $27.65 $521.84B $502.28B – $535.16B 8
2030 $33.41 $31.78 – $34.51 $643.73B $619.6B – $660.17B 13
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