Valor Intrínseco del S&P y Nasdaq Contáctenos

Valor Intrínseco del Índice

Valor razonable basado en DCF para los componentes de los principales índices de EE.UU.

Dow Jones (DIA)

Valor intrínseco promedio ponderado basado en análisis DCF de los componentes del índice  · Actualizado Apr 15, 2026

Precio ETF
$485.54
+0.71% hoy
Valor Razonable ETF
$592
30 acciones analizadas
Potencial alcista
+21.9%
infravalorado
Cobertura
100.0%
del peso del índice
Precio actual ETF: $485.54 Valor Razonable ETF (DCF): $592
$413 ← 21.9% potencial alcista → $639
El valor razonable del ETF se deriva del análisis DCF de 30 componentes que cubren el DIA% del peso total de 100.0.
Fórmula
$$\text{ETF Fair Value} = P_{\text{ETF}} \times \underbrace{\frac{\displaystyle\sum_{i=1}^{n} w_i \cdot \dfrac{\widehat{IV}_i}{P_i}}{\displaystyle\sum_{i=1}^{n} w_i}}_{\text{weighted avg IV/P ratio}}$$
\(P_{\text{ETF}}\)  —  precio actual del ETF ($485.54)
\(w_i\)  —  peso en el índice del componente i \(i\) (summing to \(\approx100.0\))
\(\widehat{IV}_i\)  —  valor intrínseco DCF del componente i \(i\)
\(P_i\)  —  precio actual del componente i \(i\)
\(n = 30\)  —  componentes con datos financieros suficientes
$$\text{DIA Fair Value} = 485.54 \times 1.2190 \approx \$591.89$$

The estimated intrinsic value of Dow Jones (DIA) is $592, compared to the current ETF price of $485.54. This represents a +21.9% upside, suggesting the index is currently infravalorado.

This valuation is based on a weighted DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) analysis of 30 component stocks out of 30 total holdings, covering 100.0% of the index weight. Each component's intrinsic value is calculated using a 20-year DCF model with analyst EPS growth estimates and CAPM-derived discount rates.

Methods: OCF = Operating Cash Flow, FCF = Free Cash Flow, NI = Net Income. Data for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Composición — Valor Intrínseco por Componente

# Symbol Peso Precio Valor Intrínseco Potencial Crecimiento g1 Método
1
GS
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
11.52% $909.63 $809 -11.1% 12.4% Ingreso Neto
2
CAT
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
10.03% $794.25 $872 +9.7% 17.7% Flujo de Caja Op.
3
MSFT
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
4.76% $393.11 $912 +131.9% 17.9% Flujo de Caja Op.
4
AMGN
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
4.53% $350.95 $457 +30.3% 9.7% Flujo de Caja Op.
5
HD
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
4.33% $342.71 $248 -27.7% 6.3% Flujo de Caja Op.
6
SHW
SHW
The Sherwin-Williams Company
4.28% $333.60 $298 -10.6% 11.4% Flujo de Caja Op.
7
AXP
AXP
American Express Company
4.05% $326.96 $271 -17.2% 32.5% Ingreso Neto
8
JPM
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
3.96% $311.12 $367 +18.0% 15.4% Ingreso Neto
9
MCD
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
3.95% $303.22 $317 +4.5% 8.2% Flujo de Caja Op.
10
V
V
Visa Inc.
3.93% $311.37 $183 -41.2% 44.6% Ingreso Neto
11
UNH
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
3.91% $314.19 $902 +187.2% 17.3% Flujo de Caja Libre
12
TRV
TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
3.86% $299.59 $553 +84.6% 15.0% Ingreso Neto
13
AAPL
AAPL
Apple Inc.
3.32% $258.83 $235 -9.3% 10.6% Flujo de Caja Op.
14
JNJ
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
3.08% $240.10 $268 +11.6% 8.8% Flujo de Caja Op.
15
IBM
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
3.02% $240.27 $205 -14.7% 3.8% Flujo de Caja Op.
16
HON
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
3.01% $233.24 $278 +19.0% 12.5% Flujo de Caja Op.
17
AMZN
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
2.98% $248.97 $286 +15.0% 18.5% Ingreso Neto
18
BA
BA
The Boeing Company
2.81% $223.77 $280 +25.1% 43.0% Flujo de Caja Op.
19
CVX
CVX
Chevron Corporation
2.43% $186.98 $301 +60.8% 12.8% Flujo de Caja Libre
20
NVDA
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
2.34% $196.46 $188 -4.1% 21.0% Flujo de Caja Op.
21
CRM
CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
2.18% $171.31 $416 +143.0% 22.2% Ingreso Neto
22
MMM
MMM
3M Company
1.92% $152.55 $107 -29.9% 12.2% Flujo de Caja Op.
23
PG
PG
The Procter & Gamble Company
1.87% $144.40 $156 +8.3% 5.3% Flujo de Caja Op.
24
WMT
WMT
Walmart Inc.
1.65% $125.05 $41.0 -67.2% 8.6% Flujo de Caja Libre
25
MRK
MRK
Merck & Co., Inc.
1.56% $119.96 $188 +56.5% 10.2% Flujo de Caja Op.
26
DIS
DIS
The Walt Disney Company
1.27% $102.60 $154 +50.0% 8.5% Flujo de Caja Op.
27
CSCO
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
1.06% $82.61 $160 +93.4% 18.4% Flujo de Caja Op.
28
KO
KO
The Coca-Cola Company
1.00% $75.90 $37.7 -50.3% 6.5% Flujo de Caja Op.
29
VZ
VZ
Verizon Communications Inc.
0.60% $45.48 $99.9 +119.6% 9.9% Flujo de Caja Libre
30
NKE
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
0.56% $44.20 $41.8 -5.5% 17.6% Flujo de Caja Op.
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