Alcoa Corporation (AA) — Analyst outlook / Analyst consensus target is. Based on 42 analyst ratings, the consensus is bullish — 1 Strong Buy, 20 Buy, 20 Hold, 1 Sell.
The consensus price target is $53.20 (low: $41.00, high: $68.00), representing a downside of 26% from the current price $71.86.
Analysts estimate Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.10 and revenue of $11.75B for the next fiscal year.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) track record: 2024: actual $0.26 vs est $1.10 (missed -76.4%). 2025: actual $4.47 vs est $3.56 (beat +25.5%). Analyst accuracy: 0%.
AA Stock — 12-Month Price Forecast
$53.20
▼ -25.97% Downside
Average Price Target
Based on 42 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Alcoa Corporation, the average price target is $53.20, with a high forecast of $68.00, and a low forecast of $41.00.
The average price target represents a -25.97% change from the last price of $71.86.
Highest Price Target
$68.00
Average Price Target
$53.20
Lowest Price Target
$41.00
AA Analyst Ratings
Buy
Based on 42 analysts giving stock ratings to Alcoa Corporation in the past 3 months
EPS Estimates — AA
0%
Analyst Accuracy
Inaccurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024
Actual $0.26
vs Est $1.10
▼ 323.7% off
2025
Actual $4.47
vs Est $3.56
▲ 20.3% off
Profitability Outlook
Company is profitable with solid earnings. EPS trend is improving.
Revenue Estimates — AA
99%
Analyst Accuracy
Accurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024
Actual $11.895B
vs Est $11.750B
▲ 1.2% off
2025
Actual $12.736B
vs Est $12.711B
▲ 0.2% off
Revenue Trend
Revenue has been relatively flat. Analysts expect stable revenue going forward.