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Alcoa Corporation AA NYSE

NYSE • Basic Materials • Aluminum • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
48/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$95.04
+32.3%
Analyst Price Target
$53.20
-26%

Alcoa Corporation (AA) — Analyst outlook / Analyst consensus target is. Based on 42 analyst ratings, the consensus is bullish — 1 Strong Buy, 20 Buy, 20 Hold, 1 Sell.

The consensus price target is $53.20 (low: $41.00, high: $68.00), representing a downside of 26% from the current price $71.86.

Analysts estimate Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.10 and revenue of $11.75B for the next fiscal year.

Earnings Per Share (EPS) track record: 2024: actual $0.26 vs est $1.10 (missed -76.4%). 2025: actual $4.47 vs est $3.56 (beat +25.5%). Analyst accuracy: 0%.

AA Stock — 12-Month Price Forecast

$53.20
▼ -25.97% Downside
Average Price Target
Based on 42 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Alcoa Corporation, the average price target is $53.20, with a high forecast of $68.00, and a low forecast of $41.00.
The average price target represents a -25.97% change from the last price of $71.86.
Highest Price Target
$68.00
Average Price Target
$53.20
Lowest Price Target
$41.00

AA Analyst Ratings

Buy
42
Ratings
21 Buy
20 Hold
1 Sell
Based on 42 analysts giving stock ratings to Alcoa Corporation in the past 3 months
Rating breakdown
Strong Buy
1 2%
Buy
20 48%
Hold
20 48%
Sell
1 2%
50%
Buy
21 analysts
48%
Hold
20 analysts
2%
Sell
1 analysts

EPS Estimates — AA

0%
Analyst Accuracy
Inaccurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024 Actual $0.26 vs Est $1.10 ▼ 323.7% off
2025 Actual $4.47 vs Est $3.56 ▲ 20.3% off
Profitability Outlook
Company is profitable with solid earnings. EPS trend is improving.

Revenue Estimates — AA

99%
Analyst Accuracy
Accurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024 Actual $11.895B vs Est $11.750B ▲ 1.2% off
2025 Actual $12.736B vs Est $12.711B ▲ 0.2% off
Revenue Trend
Revenue has been relatively flat. Analysts expect stable revenue going forward.
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