SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
Alcoa Corporation (AA) trades at a trailing P/E of 17.0, forward P/E of 11.3. Trailing earnings yield is 5.89%, forward earnings yield 8.89%. PEG 0.01 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $48.53.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (25/100, Fail) — analyst consensus target implies downside from the current price ($53.20, 26%).
- Forward P/E 11.3 (down from trailing 17.0) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
- PEG Ratio 0.01 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
- Trailing Earnings Yield 5.89% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 8.89% as earnings recover.
- Analyst consensus target $53.20 (-26% downside) — analysts see meaningful downside risk at the current price level.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 48/100 with 1/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
✗
VALUE
25/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
HEALTH
67/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — AA
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)17.0
Forward P/E11.3
PEG Ratio0.01
Forward PEG0.26
P/B Ratio3.18
P/S Ratio1.55
EV/EBITDA9.7
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$4.40
Forward EPS (Est.)$6.39
Book Value / Share$23.80
Revenue / Share$48.81
FCF / Share$2.17
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield5.89%
Forward Earnings Yield8.89%
Dividend Yield0.54%
Graham Number$48.53
SharesGrow IV$95.04 (+32.3%)
Analyst Target$53.20 (-26%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
-12.8 |
0.24 |
0.91 |
0.55 |
1.09% |
| 2017 |
45.8 |
-0.30 |
2.20 |
0.84 |
- |
| 2018 |
19.8 |
5.84 |
0.88 |
0.37 |
- |
| 2019 |
-3.5 |
0.01 |
0.97 |
0.38 |
- |
| 2020 |
-25.2 |
0.30 |
1.29 |
0.46 |
- |
| 2021 |
25.8 |
-0.07 |
2.37 |
0.89 |
0.17% |
| 2022 |
-66.9 |
0.54 |
1.62 |
0.64 |
0.87% |
| 2023 |
-9.3 |
-0.02 |
1.42 |
0.57 |
1.19% |
| 2024 |
133.8 |
-1.24 |
1.56 |
0.66 |
1.12% |
| 2025 |
12.1 |
0.01 |
2.26 |
1.09 |
0.76% |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2016 |
$-2.19 |
$9.32B |
$-400M |
-4.3% |
| 2017 |
$1.16 |
$11.65B |
$279M |
2.4% |
| 2018 |
$1.20 |
$13.4B |
$250M |
1.9% |
| 2019 |
$-6.07 |
$10.43B |
$-1.13B |
-10.8% |
| 2020 |
$-0.91 |
$9.29B |
$-170M |
-1.8% |
| 2021 |
$2.26 |
$12.15B |
$429M |
3.5% |
| 2022 |
$-0.57 |
$12.45B |
$-123M |
-1% |
| 2023 |
$-3.65 |
$10.55B |
$-651M |
-6.2% |
| 2024 |
$0.26 |
$11.9B |
$60M |
0.5% |
| 2025 |
$4.44 |
$12.74B |
$1.15B |
9% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$6.00 |
$4.54 – $7.52 |
$14.31B |
$13.49B – $15.46B |
8 |
| 2027 |
$6.16 |
$4.54 – $7.32 |
$14.31B |
$13.82B – $15.08B |
8 |
| 2028 |
$5.85 |
$3.62 – $8.07 |
$14.32B |
$14.3B – $14.33B |
5 |
| 2029 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 – $0.00 |
$14.41B |
$13.52B – $15.44B |
1 |
| 2030 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 – $0.00 |
$15.36B |
$14.4B – $16.46B |
1 |
