Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) — Analyst outlook / Analyst consensus target is. Based on 33 analyst ratings, the consensus is bullish — 25 Buy, 8 Hold.
The consensus price target is $202.50 (low: $174.00, high: $225.00), representing a downside of 9.6% from the current price $223.93.
Analysts estimate Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $8.68 and revenue of $135.41B for the next fiscal year.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) track record: 2024: actual $10.13 vs est $8.68 (beat +16.7%). 2025: actual $13.27 vs est $9.59 (beat +38.3%). Analyst accuracy: 79%.
MPC Stock — 12-Month Price Forecast
$202.50
▼ -9.57% Downside
Average Price Target
Based on 33 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum Corporation, the average price target is $202.50, with a high forecast of $225.00, and a low forecast of $174.00.
The average price target represents a -9.57% change from the last price of $223.93.
Highest Price Target
$225.00
Average Price Target
$202.50
Lowest Price Target
$174.00
MPC Analyst Ratings
Buy
Based on 33 analysts giving stock ratings to Marathon Petroleum Corporation in the past 3 months
EPS Estimates — MPC
79%
Analyst Accuracy
Fair
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024
Actual $10.13
vs Est $8.68
▲ 14.3% off
2025
Actual $13.27
vs Est $9.59
▲ 27.7% off
Profitability Outlook
Strong profitability with high earnings per share. EPS trend is improving.
Revenue Estimates — MPC
99%
Analyst Accuracy
Accurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024
Actual $138.864B
vs Est $135.408B
▲ 2.5% off
2025
Actual $132.542B
vs Est $132.728B
▼ 0.1% off
Revenue Trend
Revenue has been relatively flat. Analysts expect stable revenue going forward.