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Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC NYSE

NYSE • Energy • Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
49/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$556.29
+148.4%
Analyst Price Target
$202.50
-9.6%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) trades at a trailing P/E of 17.1, forward P/E of 11.1. Trailing earnings yield is 5.84%, forward earnings yield 9.02%. PEG 0.55 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $156.63.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (70/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (17.1); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.55); earnings yield beats bond yields (5.84%).
  • Forward P/E 11.1 (down from trailing 17.1) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.55 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 5.84% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 9.02% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $202.50 (-9.6% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 49/100 with 2/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
49/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
70/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
FUTURE
59/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
33/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
38/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — MPC

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)17.1
Forward P/E11.1
PEG Ratio0.55
Forward PEG0.21
P/B Ratio4.00
P/S Ratio0.51
EV/EBITDA8.5
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$13.54
Forward EPS (Est.)$20.20
Book Value / Share$80.56
Revenue / Share$443.81
FCF / Share$15.94
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield5.84%
Forward Earnings Yield9.02%
Dividend Yield1.65%
Graham Number$156.63
SharesGrow IV$556.29 (+148.4%)
Analyst Target$202.50 (-9.6%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 22.7 -0.39 1.97 0.42 2.69%
2017 9.8 0.05 2.41 0.45 2.29%
2018 11.0 -0.53 0.87 0.36 3.12%
2019 15.1 -0.59 1.18 0.36 3.52%
2020 -2.7 0.01 1.21 0.38 5.63%
2021 4.2 -0.04 1.55 0.34 3.66%
2022 4.1 0.00 2.15 0.34 2.15%
2023 6.2 -0.39 2.47 0.41 2.09%
2024 13.8 -0.24 2.68 0.34 2.43%
2025 12.3 0.39 2.86 0.37 2.30%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $2.21 $63.52B $1.17B 1.8%
2017 $6.70 $75.05B $3.43B 4.6%
2018 $4.00 $86.28B $2.11B 2.4%
2019 $2.76 $111.28B $1.83B 1.6%
2020 $-17.00 $69.9B $-11.03B -15.8%
2021 $2.02 $120.45B $1.29B 1.1%
2022 $28.12 $178.24B $14.52B 8.1%
2023 $23.65 $149.35B $9.68B 6.5%
2024 $10.13 $138.86B $3.45B 2.5%
2025 $13.27 $132.54B $4.05B 3.1%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $18.03 $12.00 – $30.20 $135.92B $87.28B – $179.03B 11
2027 $15.68 $9.89 – $22.93 $136.27B $89.64B – $179.79B 11
2028 $14.74 $9.51 – $23.17 $136.07B $135.76B – $136.39B 4
2029 $28.80 $14.58 – $38.51 $161.95B $101.64B – $206.34B 2
2030 $29.00 $14.69 – $38.77 $170.27B $106.86B – $216.94B 2
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