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Packaging Corporation of America PKG NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Packaging & Containers • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
60/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$268.21
+27.8%
Analyst Price Target
$246.00
+17.2%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · income-related highlighted on this page

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) has shown moderate revenue growth over the past 3 years, expanding from $8.5B to $9.0B (average +2.2%/yr). Net income reached $769M, reflecting earnings decline at -8.3%/yr on average. The net profit margin is 8.6%, which is moderate. The company has maintained profitability in all 4 of the past 4 years, demonstrating a consistent earnings track record. The gross margin is 21% (low), with a -3.7pp trend over the period. With a $19B market cap and MOAT composite score of 50/100, the company has a moderate competitive position.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • GROWTH (30/100, Partial) — growth is present but not consistently above 5% across both metrics
  • PAST (100/100, Pass) — proving consistent earnings. Looking at the full 28-year history, the company was profitable in 27 of 28 years — an excellent long-term track record
  • INCOME (45/100, Partial) — the company is profitable but margin is below 15%
  • MOAT (50/100, Partial) — some competitive advantages are present but not dominant

Overall SharesGrow Score: 60/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.

60/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
66/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
→ IV page
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FUTURE
46/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
4/4 yrs profit
EPS $8.58
Proven by this page
HEALTH
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
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MOAT
50/100
Score: 50/100
GM 21% (-3.7pp)
Proven by this page
GROWTH
30/100
Rev +2.2%/yr
NI -8.3%/yr
Proven by this page
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INCOME
45/100
Margin 8.6%
$9.0B
Proven by this page
Packaging Corporation of America Earnings and Revenue History
Analyst Forecast →
Revenue  Actual & Estimate
Earnings & Profit Margin  Actual & Estimate
Metric TTM FY2025 FY2024 FY2023 FY2022
Revenue $8.99B$8.99B$8.38B$7.8B$8.48B
Gross Profit $1.89B$1.89B$1.78B$1.7B$2.09B
Gross Margin 21%21%21.3%21.8%24.7%
Operating Income $1.22B$1.26B$1.1B$1.08B$978.4M
Net Income $773.3M$768.9M$805.1M$765.2M$1.03B
Net Margin 8.6%8.6%9.6%9.8%12.1%
EPS (Diluted) $8.57$8.58$8.93$8.48$11.02
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