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Melcor Developments Ltd. MODVF OTC

Other OTC • Real Estate • Real Estate - Development • CA • USD

SharesGrow Score
68/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$14.00
+5.6%

The estimated intrinsic value of Melcor Developments Ltd. (MODVF) using a Price-to-Funds From Operations (P/FFO) model is $29.80 (based on the recommended P/FFO method), compared to the current stock price of $13.26. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 124.8% relative to its intrinsic value.

For Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), standard DCF models can be misleading because depreciation — a large non-cash charge — distorts net income. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Price-to-FFO (Funds From Operations) model: Intrinsic Value = FFO Per Share × 17 (sector-average P/FFO multiple). FFO adds back depreciation to net income, providing a more accurate picture of a REIT's recurring cash-generating ability — the industry-standard metric for REIT valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 5.44% (CAPM-derived from beta of 0.91). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $2,512.51 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $2,636.21 | Net Income (NI): $40.76.

ℹ Why does our Intrinsic Value (IV) differ from analyst targets?
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates Intrinsic Value (IV) at $29.80, while the analyst consensus target is $14.00 — a 112.9% gap.
  • Operating Cash Flow (OCF) exceeds Net Income (NI) significantly. This is common with companies that have large Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) or depreciation charges. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model may be using a cash flow base that is higher than earnings, but the method choice matters — check the recommended method below.
  • High debt relative to cash flow. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model deducts net debt from the present value of future cash flows, which significantly reduces equity value per share. Analyst price targets typically do not subtract debt in the same way.
Tip: Try adjusting the growth rate and discount rate below to see how different assumptions affect the valuation.
DCF-20 Year
MODVF

Intrinsic Value Calculator — Melcor Developments Ltd.

USD 13.26 ▲ 0.36%
⚠ Currency conversion applied — Financials reported in CAD, converted to USD at 1 CAD = 0.7196 USD. IV and cash flow figures are shown in USD.
FFO Per Share
USD
P/FFO Multiple
×
Formula: IV = FFO Per Share × P/FFO Multiple
Undervalued Overvalued
Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 13.26
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