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Spirit Realty Capital, Inc. SRC NYSE

NYSE • Real Estate • REIT - Diversified • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
71/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$52.58
+22.3%

The estimated intrinsic value of Spirit Realty Capital, Inc. (SRC) using a Price-to-Funds From Operations (P/FFO) model is $49.41 (based on the recommended P/FFO method), compared to the current stock price of $42.98. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 15.0% relative to its intrinsic value.

For Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), standard DCF models can be misleading because depreciation — a large non-cash charge — distorts net income. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Price-to-FFO (Funds From Operations) model: Intrinsic Value = FFO Per Share × 17 (sector-average P/FFO multiple). FFO adds back depreciation to net income, providing a more accurate picture of a REIT's recurring cash-generating ability — the industry-standard metric for REIT valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 6.98% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.38). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $78.29 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $48.09 | Net Income (NI): $46.09.

DCF-20 Year
SRC

Intrinsic Value Calculator — Spirit Realty Capital, Inc.

USD 42.98 ▲ 0.63%
FFO Per Share
USD
P/FFO Multiple
×
Formula: IV = FFO Per Share × P/FFO Multiple
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Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 42.98
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