The estimated intrinsic value of TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) using a Book Value × Return on Equity (P/B × ROE) model is $99.75 (based on the recommended P/B × ROE method), compared to the current stock price of $50.48. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 97.6% relative to its intrinsic value.

For banks and financial institutions, traditional DCF models are unreliable because cash flows are heavily influenced by lending and deposit activities. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Book Value × ROE model: Intrinsic Value = Book Value Per Share × (Return on Equity ÷ Cost of Equity) × Growth Adjustment. This approach values the firm based on how efficiently it generates returns on shareholders' equity relative to its cost of capital — the standard methodology used by institutional investors for bank valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 4.43% (CAPM-derived from beta of 0.61). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $360.41 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $356.77 | Net Income (NI): $352.44.

• Analyst price targets are based on forward-looking expectations, sentiment, and comparable company multiples. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is based on current cash flows projected at estimated growth rates. Different assumptions about future growth, margins, or risk can lead to significant valuation differences.