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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. HGV NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Gambling, Resorts & Casinos • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
53/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$685.08
+1339.8%
Analyst Price Target
$49.33
+3.7%

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) is a Gambling, Resorts & Casinos company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, currently trading at $47.58. It has a SharesGrow Score of 53/100, indicating a mixed investment profile with 2 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of HGV = $685.08 (+1339.8% from the current price, the stock appears undervalued). Analyst consensus target is HGV = $49 (+3.7% upside).

Valuation: HGV trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 35.7 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 2.27.

Financials: revenue is $5.0B, +10.1%/yr average growth. Net income is $81M, growing at -7.9%/yr. Net profit margin is 1.6% (thin). Gross margin is 56.7% (+23.5 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $7.4B against $1.3B equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 5.7, leveraged). Current ratio is 5.2 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 63.7%. Total assets: $11.5B.

Analyst outlook: 6 / 15 analysts rate HGV as buy (40%) — mixed sentiment.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 50/100 (Partial), Growth 48/100 (Partial), Past 100/100 (Pass), Health 33/100 (Fail), Moat 74/100 (Pass), Future 34/100 (Fail), Income 30/100 (Fail).

$49.33
▲ 3.68% Upside
Average Price Target
Based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., the average price target is $49.33, with a high forecast of $59.00, and a low forecast of $40.00.
Highest Price Target
$59.00
Average Price Target
$49.33
Lowest Price Target
$40.00

HGV SharesGrow Score Overview

53/100
SharesGrow Score
Mixed signals — some strengths
View full scorecard →
VALUE 50/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 48/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 100/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 33/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 74/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 34/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 30/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — HGV

~
VALUE Partial
50/100
HGV trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 35.7 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 2.27 — overvalued. Trailing PEG 0.9. Analyst consensus target is $49, implying +3% from the current price $48. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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~
GROWTH Partial
48/100
HGV: +10.1%/yr revenue is, -7.9%/yr Net income is average growth. mixed. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Pass
100/100
HGV: 4 / 4 years profitable. strong — 100%. Score = 4 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
33/100
Balance sheet HGV: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 5.7 (leveraged), Current ratio is 5.2 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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MOAT Pass
74/100
HGV: Gross margin is 56.7% (+23.5 pp trend), $4B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 74/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Fail
34/100
Analyst outlook: 6 / 15 analysts rate HGV as buy (40%). Analyst consensus target is $49 (+3% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Fail
30/100
HGV: Net profit margin is 1.6%. thin (0-5%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range30.59-52.08
Volume659.4K
Avg Volume (30D)799.39K
Market Cap$3.87B
Beta (1Y)1.49
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.90
Shares Outstanding$89.9M
IPO Date2017-01-04
Employees21,800
CEOMark D. Wang
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$5.05B
Gross Profit$2.86B
EBITDA$759M
Net Income$81M
Operating Income$561M
Total Cash$571M
Total Debt$7.35B
Net Debt$6.78B
Total Assets$11.54B
Price / Earnings (P/E)52.9
Price / Sales (P/S)0.77
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$49.00
Target High$59.00
Target Low$40.00
Upside+3.0%
Rating ConsensusHold
Analysts Covering15
Buy 40% Hold 53% Sell 7%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS43283X1054

Price Chart

HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.  ·  NYSE
Consumer Cyclical • Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
30.59 52WK RANGE 52.08
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