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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
57/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$45.25
-26.1%
Analyst Price Target
$62.10
+1.4%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) trades at a trailing P/E of 18.2, forward P/E of 15.2. Trailing earnings yield is 5.51%, forward earnings yield 6.58%. PEG 0.49 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $25.90.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (58/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
  • Forward P/E 15.2 (down from trailing 18.2) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.49 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 5.51% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 6.58% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $62.10 (+1.4% upside) — modest upside expected.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 57/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
57/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
~
VALUE
58/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
34/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
33/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
74/100
→ Income
GROWTH
73/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — CAKE

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)18.2
Forward P/E15.2
PEG Ratio0.49
Forward PEG0.49
P/B Ratio6.18
P/S Ratio0.77
EV/EBITDA22.1
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$3.18
Forward EPS (Est.)$4.03
Book Value / Share$9.36
Revenue / Share$80.48
FCF / Share$3.33
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield5.51%
Forward Earnings Yield6.58%
Dividend Yield1.92%
Graham Number$25.90
SharesGrow IV$45.25 (-26.1%)
Analyst Target$62.10 (+1.4%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 20.6 0.95 4.76 1.26 1.47%
2017 14.4 0.95 3.69 1.00 2.21%
2018 19.9 -0.57 3.45 0.84 2.86%
2019 13.4 0.41 2.99 0.69 3.56%
2020 -6.4 0.02 3.20 0.82 0.97%
2021 26.0 -0.22 5.71 0.64 1.01%
2023 37.4 -2.41 5.52 0.49 2.62%
2024 16.4 0.12 5.22 0.48 3.20%
2024 14.5 0.26 5.11 0.63 2.34%
2025 15.7 -4.68 5.34 0.62 2.24%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $2.83 $2.28B $139.49M 6.1%
2017 $3.27 $2.26B $157.39M 7%
2018 $2.14 $2.33B $99.04M 4.2%
2019 $2.86 $2.48B $127.29M 5.1%
2020 $-5.78 $1.98B $-253.37M -12.8%
2021 $1.01 $2.93B $72.37M 2.5%
2022 $0.86 $3.3B $43.12M 1.3%
2023 $2.07 $3.44B $101.35M 2.9%
2024 $3.20 $3.58B $156.78M 4.4%
2025 $3.07 $3.75B $148.43M 4%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $4.03 $3.87 – $4.13 $3.91B $3.88B – $3.93B 12
2027 $4.43 $4.10 – $4.56 $4.16B $4.11B – $4.21B 12
2028 $4.93 $4.86 – $4.99 $4.47B $4.47B – $4.48B 6
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