SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) trades at a trailing P/E of 16.4, forward P/E of 13.9. Trailing earnings yield is 6.09%, forward earnings yield 7.19%. PEG 0.57 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $42.15.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (77/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (16.4); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.57); analyst target implies upside (+57.5%); earnings yield beats bond yields (6.09%).
- Forward P/E 13.9 (down from trailing 16.4) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
- PEG Ratio 0.57 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
- Trailing Earnings Yield 6.09% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 7.19% as earnings recover.
- Analyst consensus target $144.84 (+57.5% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 63/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
✓
VALUE
77/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
✗
HEALTH
0/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — CHDN
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)16.4
Forward P/E13.9
PEG Ratio0.57
Forward PEG0.57
P/B Ratio6.20
P/S Ratio2.09
EV/EBITDA10.3
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$5.34
Forward EPS (Est.)$6.62
Book Value / Share$14.79
Revenue / Share$40.98
FCF / Share$8.47
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield6.09%
Forward Earnings Yield7.19%
Dividend Yield0.50%
Graham Number$42.15
SharesGrow IV$218.05 (+137.2%)
Analyst Target$144.84 (+57.5%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
22.8 |
0.31 |
3.60 |
1.89 |
0.77% |
| 2017 |
26.0 |
0.71 |
5.71 |
4.14 |
0.59% |
| 2018 |
9.5 |
0.05 |
7.10 |
3.33 |
0.71% |
| 2019 |
40.0 |
-0.67 |
10.82 |
4.14 |
0.40% |
| 2020 |
-94.2 |
1.05 |
21.01 |
7.32 |
0.30% |
| 2021 |
37.3 |
0.02 |
30.31 |
5.82 |
0.27% |
| 2022 |
18.2 |
0.23 |
14.53 |
4.43 |
0.32% |
| 2023 |
24.3 |
-5.64 |
11.35 |
4.12 |
0.27% |
| 2024 |
23.2 |
7.14 |
9.12 |
3.61 |
0.30% |
| 2025 |
21.2 |
-3.29 |
7.98 |
2.76 |
0.38% |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2016 |
$1.07 |
$1.31B |
$108.1M |
8.3% |
| 2017 |
$1.46 |
$882.6M |
$140.5M |
15.9% |
| 2018 |
$4.24 |
$1.01B |
$352.8M |
35% |
| 2019 |
$1.69 |
$1.33B |
$137.5M |
10.3% |
| 2020 |
$0.17 |
$1.05B |
$13.3M |
1.3% |
| 2021 |
$3.18 |
$1.6B |
$249.1M |
15.6% |
| 2022 |
$5.71 |
$1.81B |
$439.4M |
24.3% |
| 2023 |
$5.48 |
$2.46B |
$417.3M |
17% |
| 2024 |
$5.72 |
$2.73B |
$426.8M |
15.6% |
| 2025 |
$5.32 |
$2.93B |
$379.7M |
13% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$6.66 |
$6.55 – $6.72 |
$3.03B |
$3B – $3.05B |
5 |
| 2027 |
$7.32 |
$7.05 – $7.59 |
$3.14B |
$3.11B – $3.16B |
4 |
| 2028 |
$8.46 |
$8.34 – $8.59 |
$3.27B |
$3.26B – $3.28B |
1 |
