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Murphy USA Inc. MUSA NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Specialty Retail • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
36/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$277.11
-44.4%
Analyst Price Target
$451.25
-9.5%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) trades at a trailing P/E of 19.9, forward P/E of 19.8. Trailing earnings yield is 5.02%, forward earnings yield 5.05%. PEG 4.50. Graham Number is $137.79.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (38/100, Fail) — PEG > 2.0 means the stock is expensive even after accounting for growth (PEG 4.50).
  • Forward P/E 19.8 (down from trailing 19.9) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 4.50 — above 2.0 suggests expensive relative to earnings growth.
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 5.02% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 5.05% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $451.25 (-9.5% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 36/100 with 1/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
36/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
38/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
26/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
17/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
28/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — MUSA

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)19.9
Forward P/E19.8
PEG Ratio4.50
Forward PEG4.50
P/B Ratio15.04
P/S Ratio0.48
EV/EBITDA12.5
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$25.24
Forward EPS (Est.)$25.17
Book Value / Share$33.44
Revenue / Share$1,039.52
FCF / Share$20.07
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield5.02%
Forward Earnings Yield5.05%
Dividend Yield0.46%
Graham Number$137.79
SharesGrow IV$277.11 (-44.4%)
Analyst Target$451.25 (-9.5%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 10.9 0.28 3.46 0.21 -
2017 11.7 0.55 3.90 0.22 -
2018 11.7 -2.59 3.10 0.17 -
2019 23.9 -0.95 4.60 0.26 -
2020 9.9 0.06 4.86 0.34 0.18%
2021 13.2 0.92 6.47 0.30 0.52%
2022 9.8 0.11 10.26 0.28 0.46%
2023 13.8 -1.45 9.25 0.36 0.44%
2024 20.5 -3.69 12.26 0.51 0.36%
2025 16.6 -45.00 12.49 0.40 0.53%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $5.59 $11.59B $221.49M 1.9%
2017 $6.78 $12.83B $245.26M 1.9%
2018 $6.48 $14.36B $213.6M 1.5%
2019 $4.86 $14.03B $154.8M 1.1%
2020 $13.08 $11.26B $386.1M 3.4%
2021 $14.92 $17.36B $396.9M 2.3%
2022 $28.10 $23.45B $672.9M 2.9%
2023 $25.49 $21.53B $556.8M 2.6%
2024 $24.11 $20.24B $502.5M 2.5%
2025 $24.10 $19.38B $470.6M 2.4%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $25.11 $23.35 – $27.61 $19.7B $19.02B – $20.76B 4
2027 $27.32 $26.16 – $28.24 $20.29B $20.22B – $20.45B 5
2028 $31.10 $29.79 – $32.41 $21.35B $21.26B – $21.43B 2
2029 $30.55 $27.86 – $33.09 $22.33B $20.82B – $23.76B 1
2030 $32.96 $30.05 – $35.70 $22.97B $21.41B – $24.43B 1
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