SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) trades at a trailing P/E of 19.9, forward P/E of 19.8. Trailing earnings yield is 5.02%, forward earnings yield 5.05%. PEG 4.50. Graham Number is $137.79.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (38/100, Fail) — PEG > 2.0 means the stock is expensive even after accounting for growth (PEG 4.50).
- Forward P/E 19.8 (down from trailing 19.9) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
- PEG Ratio 4.50 — above 2.0 suggests expensive relative to earnings growth.
- Trailing Earnings Yield 5.02% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 5.05% as earnings recover.
- Analyst consensus target $451.25 (-9.5% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 36/100 with 1/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
✗
VALUE
38/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
✗
HEALTH
17/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — MUSA
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)19.9
Forward P/E19.8
PEG Ratio4.50
Forward PEG4.50
P/B Ratio15.04
P/S Ratio0.48
EV/EBITDA12.5
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$25.24
Forward EPS (Est.)$25.17
Book Value / Share$33.44
Revenue / Share$1,039.52
FCF / Share$20.07
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield5.02%
Forward Earnings Yield5.05%
Dividend Yield0.46%
Graham Number$137.79
SharesGrow IV$277.11 (-44.4%)
Analyst Target$451.25 (-9.5%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
10.9 |
0.28 |
3.46 |
0.21 |
- |
| 2017 |
11.7 |
0.55 |
3.90 |
0.22 |
- |
| 2018 |
11.7 |
-2.59 |
3.10 |
0.17 |
- |
| 2019 |
23.9 |
-0.95 |
4.60 |
0.26 |
- |
| 2020 |
9.9 |
0.06 |
4.86 |
0.34 |
0.18% |
| 2021 |
13.2 |
0.92 |
6.47 |
0.30 |
0.52% |
| 2022 |
9.8 |
0.11 |
10.26 |
0.28 |
0.46% |
| 2023 |
13.8 |
-1.45 |
9.25 |
0.36 |
0.44% |
| 2024 |
20.5 |
-3.69 |
12.26 |
0.51 |
0.36% |
| 2025 |
16.6 |
-45.00 |
12.49 |
0.40 |
0.53% |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2016 |
$5.59 |
$11.59B |
$221.49M |
1.9% |
| 2017 |
$6.78 |
$12.83B |
$245.26M |
1.9% |
| 2018 |
$6.48 |
$14.36B |
$213.6M |
1.5% |
| 2019 |
$4.86 |
$14.03B |
$154.8M |
1.1% |
| 2020 |
$13.08 |
$11.26B |
$386.1M |
3.4% |
| 2021 |
$14.92 |
$17.36B |
$396.9M |
2.3% |
| 2022 |
$28.10 |
$23.45B |
$672.9M |
2.9% |
| 2023 |
$25.49 |
$21.53B |
$556.8M |
2.6% |
| 2024 |
$24.11 |
$20.24B |
$502.5M |
2.5% |
| 2025 |
$24.10 |
$19.38B |
$470.6M |
2.4% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$25.11 |
$23.35 – $27.61 |
$19.7B |
$19.02B – $20.76B |
4 |
| 2027 |
$27.32 |
$26.16 – $28.24 |
$20.29B |
$20.22B – $20.45B |
5 |
| 2028 |
$31.10 |
$29.79 – $32.41 |
$21.35B |
$21.26B – $21.43B |
2 |
| 2029 |
$30.55 |
$27.86 – $33.09 |
$22.33B |
$20.82B – $23.76B |
1 |
| 2030 |
$32.96 |
$30.05 – $35.70 |
$22.97B |
$21.41B – $24.43B |
1 |