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Murphy USA Inc. MUSA NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Specialty Retail • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
36/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$277.11
-44.4%
Analyst Price Target
$451.25
-9.5%

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) is a Specialty Retail company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, currently trading at $498.46. It has a SharesGrow Score of 36/100, indicating a weak investment profile with 1 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of MUSA = $277.11 (-44.4% from the current price, the stock appears overvalued). Analyst consensus target is MUSA = $451 (-9.5% upside).

Valuation: MUSA trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 19.9 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 2.34.

Financials: revenue is $19.4B, -6.1%/yr average growth. Net income is $471M, growing at -11.1%/yr. Net profit margin is 2.4% (thin). Gross margin is 5% (-5.2 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $3.3B against $624M equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 5.22, leveraged). Current ratio is 0.8 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 68.8%. Total assets: $4.7B.

Analyst outlook: 3 / 11 analysts rate MUSA as buy (27%) — mixed sentiment.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 38/100 (Fail), Growth 15/100 (Fail), Past 100/100 (Pass), Health 17/100 (Fail), Moat 28/100 (Fail), Future 26/100 (Fail), Income 30/100 (Fail).

$451.25
▼ 9.47% Downside
Average Price Target
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Murphy USA Inc., the average price target is $451.25, with a high forecast of $500.00, and a low forecast of $410.00.
Highest Price Target
$500.00
Average Price Target
$451.25
Lowest Price Target
$410.00

MUSA SharesGrow Score Overview

36/100
SharesGrow Score
Below average — proceed with caution
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VALUE 38/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 15/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 100/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 17/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 28/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 26/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 30/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — MUSA

VALUE Fail
38/100
MUSA trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 19.9 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 2.34 — overvalued. Trailing PEG 8.86. Analyst consensus target is $451, implying -9.5% from the current price $498. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Fail
15/100
MUSA: -6.1%/yr revenue is, -11.1%/yr Net income is average growth. weak. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Pass
100/100
MUSA: 4 / 4 years profitable. strong — 100%. Score = 4 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
17/100
Balance sheet MUSA: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 5.22 (leveraged), Current ratio is 0.8 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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MOAT Fail
28/100
MUSA: Gross margin is 5% (-5.2 pp trend), $9B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 28/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Fail
26/100
Analyst outlook: 3 / 11 analysts rate MUSA as buy (27%). Analyst consensus target is $451 (-9.5% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Fail
30/100
MUSA: Net profit margin is 2.4%. thin (0-5%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range345.23-523.09
Volume229.4K
Avg Volume (30D)368.7K
Market Cap$9.24B
Beta (1Y)0.23
Dividend Yield$2.5200
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)24.38
Shares Outstanding$19.3M
IPO Date2013-08-19
Employees5,900
CEODonald R. Smith Jr.
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$19.38B
Gross Profit$970.7M
EBITDA$1B
Net Income$470.6M
Operating Income$739.2M
Total Cash$28.9M
Total Debt$3.25B
Net Debt$3.22B
Total Assets$4.73B
Price / Earnings (P/E)20.4
Price / Sales (P/S)0.48
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$447.50
Target High$500.00
Target Low$410.00
Upside-10.2%
Rating ConsensusHold
Analysts Covering11
Buy 27% Hold 55% Sell 18%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS6267551025

Price Chart

MUSA
Murphy USA Inc.  ·  NYSE
Consumer Cyclical • Specialty Retail
345.23 52WK RANGE 523.09
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