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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. ZTO NYSE

NYSE • Industrials • Integrated Freight & Logistics • CN • USD

SharesGrow Score
76/100
6/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$60.92
+144.1%
Analyst Price Target
$26.60
+6.6%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · income-related highlighted on this page

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) has shown strong revenue growth over the past 3 years, expanding from $35.4B to $47.8B (average +10.6%/yr). Net income reached $8.8B, reflecting solid earnings growth at +9.8%/yr on average. The net profit margin is 18.5%, which is high. The company has maintained profitability in all 4 of the past 4 years, demonstrating a consistent earnings track record. The gross margin is 25% (low), with a -0.6pp trend over the period. With a $20B market cap and MOAT composite score of 59/100, the company has a moderate competitive position.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • GROWTH (73/100, Pass) — proving strong growth momentum
  • PAST (100/100, Pass) — proving consistent earnings. Looking at the full 12-year history, the company was profitable in 12 of 12 years — a perfect long-term track record
  • INCOME (70/100, Pass) — proves strong profitability and pricing power
  • MOAT (59/100, Partial) — some competitive advantages are present but not dominant

Overall SharesGrow Score: 76/100 with 6/7 criteria passed.

76/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
62/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
→ IV page
FUTURE
82/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
4/4 yrs profit
EPS $10.91
Proven by this page
HEALTH
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
59/100
Score: 59/100
GM 25% (-0.6pp)
Proven by this page
GROWTH
73/100
Rev +10.6%/yr
NI +9.8%/yr
Proven by this page
INCOME
70/100
Margin 18.5%
$47.8B
Proven by this page
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Earnings and Revenue History
Analyst Forecast →
Revenue  Actual & Estimate
Earnings & Profit Margin  Actual & Estimate
Metric TTM FY2025 FY2024 FY2023 FY2022
Revenue $48.84B$47.76B$44.28B$38.42B$35.38B
Gross Profit $12.21B$11.94B$13.72B$11.66B$9.04B
Gross Margin 25%25%31%30.4%25.6%
Operating Income $10.19B$9.37B$11.78B$10.01B$7.74B
Net Income $9.03B$8.83B$8.82B$8.75B$6.81B
Net Margin 18.5%18.5%19.9%22.8%19.2%
EPS (Diluted) $11.20$10.91$10.70$10.43$8.30
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