SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) trades at a trailing P/E of 14.5, forward P/E of 1.9. Trailing earnings yield is 6.88%, forward earnings yield 53.19%. PEG 7.27. Graham Number is $147.36.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (62/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (14.5); earnings yield beats bond yields (6.88%).
- Forward P/E 1.9 (down from trailing 14.5) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
- PEG Ratio 7.27 — above 2.0 suggests expensive relative to earnings growth.
- Trailing Earnings Yield 6.88% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 53.19% as earnings recover.
- Analyst consensus target $26.60 (+6.6% upside) — modest upside expected.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 76/100 with 6/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
✓
VALUE
62/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
✓
HEALTH
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — ZTO
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)14.5
Forward P/E1.9
PEG Ratio7.27
Forward PEG0.09
P/B Ratio1.98
P/S Ratio2.70
EV/EBITDA9.4
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$11.39
Forward EPS (Est.)$13.31
Book Value / Share$84.73
Revenue / Share$61.59
FCF / Share$-1.00
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield6.88%
Forward Earnings Yield53.19%
Dividend Yield2.84%
Graham Number$147.36
SharesGrow IV$60.92 (+144.1%)
Analyst Target$26.60 (+6.6%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
25.9 |
0.34 |
2.69 |
5.43 |
- |
| 2017 |
24.2 |
0.47 |
3.57 |
5.87 |
- |
| 2018 |
18.7 |
0.58 |
2.39 |
4.65 |
1.09% |
| 2019 |
22.5 |
0.93 |
3.33 |
5.76 |
1.00% |
| 2020 |
35.1 |
-1.40 |
3.09 |
6.01 |
1.09% |
| 2021 |
30.9 |
4.41 |
3.02 |
4.83 |
0.92% |
| 2022 |
22.0 |
0.49 |
2.78 |
4.24 |
0.88% |
| 2023 |
14.2 |
0.50 |
2.08 |
3.24 |
1.66% |
| 2024 |
13.3 |
12.04 |
1.89 |
2.66 |
4.77% |
| 2025 |
13.2 |
14.44 |
1.75 |
2.44 |
3.06% |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2016 |
$2.91 |
$9.79B |
$2.05B |
21% |
| 2017 |
$4.40 |
$13.06B |
$3.16B |
24.2% |
| 2018 |
$5.82 |
$17.6B |
$4.38B |
24.9% |
| 2019 |
$7.23 |
$22.11B |
$5.67B |
25.7% |
| 2020 |
$5.42 |
$25.21B |
$4.31B |
17.1% |
| 2021 |
$5.80 |
$30.41B |
$4.75B |
15.6% |
| 2022 |
$8.30 |
$35.38B |
$6.81B |
19.2% |
| 2023 |
$10.43 |
$38.42B |
$8.75B |
22.8% |
| 2024 |
$10.70 |
$44.28B |
$8.82B |
19.9% |
| 2025 |
$10.91 |
$47.76B |
$8.83B |
18.5% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$13.26 |
$12.21 – $14.03 |
$55.3B |
$52.27B – $57.11B |
8 |
| 2027 |
$14.82 |
$13.91 – $16.08 |
$60.54B |
$55.14B – $65.2B |
8 |
| 2028 |
$16.33 |
$15.30 – $18.02 |
$66.03B |
$62.03B – $70.57B |
5 |
