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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. ZTO NYSE

NYSE • Industrials • Integrated Freight & Logistics • CN • USD

SharesGrow Score
76/100
6/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$60.92
+144.1%
Analyst Price Target
$26.60
+6.6%

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is a Integrated Freight & Logistics company in the Industrials sector, currently trading at $24.96. It has a SharesGrow Score of 76/100, indicating a strong investment profile with 6 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of ZTO = $60.92 (+144.1% from the current price, the stock appears undervalued). Analyst consensus target is ZTO = $27 (+6.6% upside).

Valuation: ZTO trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 14.5 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 1.23.

Financials: revenue is $47.8B, +10.6%/yr average growth. Net income is $8.8B, growing at +9.8%/yr. Net profit margin is 18.5% (healthy). Gross margin is 25% (-0.6 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $11.1B against $66.4B equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 0.17, conservative). Current ratio is 1.49 (adequate). Debt-to-assets is 12.2%. Total assets: $91.1B.

Analyst outlook: 8 / 10 analysts rate ZTO as buy (80%) — strong consensus.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 62/100 (Pass), Growth 73/100 (Pass), Past 100/100 (Pass), Health 83/100 (Pass), Moat 59/100 (Partial), Future 82/100 (Pass), Income 70/100 (Pass).

$26.60
▲ 6.57% Upside
Average Price Target
The 12-month price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is $26.60.

ZTO SharesGrow Score Overview

76/100
SharesGrow Score
Strong investment profile
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VALUE 62/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 73/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 100/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 83/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 59/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 82/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 70/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — ZTO

VALUE Pass
62/100
ZTO trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 14.5 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 1.23 — ~moderate (~1.5). Trailing PEG 5.54. Analyst consensus target is $27, implying +8.2% from the current price $25. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Pass
73/100
ZTO: +10.6%/yr revenue is, +9.8%/yr Net income is average growth. > 5%/yr — strong. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Pass
100/100
ZTO: 4 / 4 years profitable. strong — 100%. Score = 4 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Pass
83/100
Balance sheet ZTO: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 0.17 (conservative), Current ratio is 1.49 (adequate). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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~
MOAT Partial
59/100
ZTO: Gross margin is 25% (-0.6 pp trend), $20B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 59/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Pass
82/100
Analyst outlook: 8 / 10 analysts rate ZTO as buy (80%). Analyst consensus target is $27 (+8.2% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Pass
70/100
ZTO: Net profit margin is 18.5%. healthy (≥15%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range16.34-26.2
Volume835.09K
Avg Volume (30D)2.03M
Market Cap$19.91B
Beta (1Y)-0.16
Dividend Yield$0.6400
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)11.05
Shares Outstanding$797.64M
IPO Date2016-10-27
Employees24,477
CEOMeisong Lai
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$47.76B
Gross Profit$11.94B
EBITDA$12.66B
Net Income$8.83B
Operating Income$9.37B
Total Cash$25.68B
Total Debt$11.08B
Net Debt$1.03B
Total Assets$91.08B
Price / Earnings (P/E)2.3
Price / Sales (P/S)0.42
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$26.60
Target High$26.60
Target Low$26.60
Upside+6.6%
Rating ConsensusBuy
Analysts Covering10
Buy 80% Hold 20% Sell 0%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryCN
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS98980A1051

Price Chart

ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.  ·  NYSE
Industrials • Integrated Freight & Logistics
16.34 52WK RANGE 26.20
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