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Erie Indemnity Company ERIE NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Financial Services • Insurance - Brokers • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
74/100
4/6 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$300.55
+20.5%

The estimated intrinsic value of Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) using a Book Value × Return on Equity (P/B × ROE) model is $300.55 (based on the recommended P/B × ROE method), compared to the current stock price of $249.43. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 20.5% relative to its intrinsic value.

For banks and financial institutions, traditional DCF models are unreliable because cash flows are heavily influenced by lending and deposit activities. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Book Value × ROE model: Intrinsic Value = Book Value Per Share × (Return on Equity ÷ Cost of Equity) × Growth Adjustment. This approach values the firm based on how efficiently it generates returns on shareholders' equity relative to its cost of capital — the standard methodology used by institutional investors for bank valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 4.09% (CAPM-derived from beta of 0.44). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $1,016.09 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $891.18 | Net Income (NI): $827.16.

DCF-20 Year
ERIE

Intrinsic Value Calculator — Erie Indemnity Company

USD 249.43 ▼ 4.54%
Book Value Per Share (BVPS)
USD
Average Return on Equity (ROE)
%
Cost of Equity / Discount Rate
%
Analyst Growth Rate (g₁)
%
Growth Adj = 1 + min(g₁, 15%) ÷ 200 = 1
Formula: IV = BVPS × (ROE ÷ CoE) × Growth Adj
Undervalued Overvalued
Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 249.43
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