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UGI Corporation UGIC NYSE

NYSE • Utilities • Regulated Gas • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
46/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow

The estimated intrinsic value of UGI Corporation (UGIC) using a Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is $241.67 (based on the recommended DDM method), compared to the current stock price of $57.78. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 318.3% relative to its intrinsic value.

For utility companies, which are valued primarily for their stable and predictable dividend streams, SharesGrow uses a Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Intrinsic Value = Annual Dividend ÷ (Cost of Equity − Dividend Growth Rate). This model assumes a long-term dividend growth rate of 4% — consistent with the historical average for regulated utilities — and uses a minimum 7% cost of equity. The DDM is the preferred valuation method for income-oriented stocks with stable payout histories.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 6.21% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.14). For comparison, the standard 20-year DCF model produces: Operating Cash Flow (OCF): $214.71 | Free Cash Flow (FCF): $85.32 | Net Income (NI): $2.18.

DCF-20 Year
UGIC

Intrinsic Value Calculator — UGI Corporation

USD 57.78 ▲ 0.76%
Annual Dividend
USD
Cost of Equity (min 7%)
%
Dividend Growth Rate
%
Formula: IV = Dividend ÷ (CoE − Growth Rate)
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Intrinsic value
USD —
Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 57.78
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