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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. AAP NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Specialty Retail • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
44/100
0/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$7.10
-87.3%
Analyst Price Target
$56.67
+1.2%

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) is a Specialty Retail company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, currently trading at $56.01. It has a SharesGrow Score of 44/100, indicating a mixed investment profile with 0 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of AAP = $7.10 (-87.3% from the current price, the stock appears overvalued). Analyst consensus target is AAP = $57 (+1.2% upside).

Valuation: AAP trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 75.2 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 1.72.

Financials: revenue is $8.6B, -2.2%/yr average growth. Net income is $44M, growing at -368.4%/yr. Net profit margin is 0.5% (thin). Gross margin is 43.4% (+1.5 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $5.2B against $2.2B equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 2.38, leveraged). Current ratio is 1.75 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 44.2%. Total assets: $11.8B.

Analyst outlook: 12 / 44 analysts rate AAP as buy (27%) — mixed sentiment.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 55/100 (Partial), Growth 15/100 (Fail), Past 75/100 (Partial), Health 33/100 (Fail), Moat 63/100 (Partial), Future 34/100 (Fail), Income 30/100 (Fail).

$56.67
▲ 1.18% Upside
Average Price Target
Based on 44 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Advance Auto Parts, Inc., the average price target is $56.67, with a high forecast of $63.00, and a low forecast of $40.00.
Highest Price Target
$63.00
Average Price Target
$56.67
Lowest Price Target
$40.00

AAP SharesGrow Score Overview

44/100
SharesGrow Score
Mixed signals — some strengths
View full scorecard →
VALUE 55/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 15/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 75/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 33/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 63/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 34/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 30/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — AAP

~
VALUE Partial
55/100
AAP trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 75.2 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 1.72 — overvalued. Trailing PEG 0.67. Analyst consensus target is $57, implying +1.8% from the current price $56. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Fail
15/100
AAP: -2.2%/yr revenue is, -368.4%/yr Net income is average growth. weak. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Partial
75/100
AAP: 3 / 4 years profitable. mixed. Score = 3 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
33/100
Balance sheet AAP: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 2.38 (leveraged), Current ratio is 1.75 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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~
MOAT Partial
63/100
AAP: Gross margin is 43.4% (+1.5 pp trend), $3B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 63/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Fail
34/100
Analyst outlook: 12 / 44 analysts rate AAP as buy (27%). Analyst consensus target is $57 (+1.8% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Fail
30/100
AAP: Net profit margin is 0.5%. thin (0-5%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range28.89-70
Volume1.24M
Avg Volume (30D)1.83M
Market Cap$3.37B
Beta (1Y)1.07
Dividend Yield$1.0000
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.73
Shares Outstanding$59.9M
IPO Date2001-11-29
Employees33,200
CEOShane O'Kelly
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$8.6B
Gross Profit$3.73B
EBITDA$320M
Net Income$44M
Operating Income$161M
Total Cash$3.12B
Total Debt$5.22B
Net Debt$2.1B
Total Assets$11.83B
Price / Earnings (P/E)76.7
Price / Sales (P/S)0.39
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$58.00
Target High$63.00
Target Low$40.00
Upside+3.6%
Rating ConsensusHold
Analysts Covering44
Buy 27% Hold 61% Sell 11%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS00751Y1064

Price Chart

AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.  ·  NYSE
Consumer Cyclical • Specialty Retail
28.89 52WK RANGE 70.00
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