Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) — Analyst outlook / Analyst consensus target is. Based on 44 analyst ratings, the consensus is bullish — 12 Buy, 27 Hold, 5 Sell.
The consensus price target is $56.67 (low: $40.00, high: $63.00), representing an upside of 1.2% from the current price $56.01.
Analysts estimate Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.36 and revenue of $11.28B for the next fiscal year.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) track record: 2024: actual $-5.63 vs est $0.36 (missed -1663.3%). 2025: actual $0.73 vs est $-0.35 (beat +310.9%). Analyst accuracy: 0%.
AAP Stock — 12-Month Price Forecast
$56.67
▲ +1.18% Upside
Average Price Target
Based on 44 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Advance Auto Parts, Inc., the average price target is $56.67, with a high forecast of $63.00, and a low forecast of $40.00.
The average price target represents a +1.18% change from the last price of $56.01.
Highest Price Target
$63.00
Average Price Target
$56.67
Lowest Price Target
$40.00
AAP Analyst Ratings
Hold
Based on 44 analysts giving stock ratings to Advance Auto Parts, Inc. in the past 3 months
EPS Estimates — AAP
0%
Analyst Accuracy
Inaccurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024
Actual –$5.63
vs Est $0.36
▼ 106.4% off
2025
Actual $0.73
vs Est –$0.35
▲ 147.4% off
Profitability Outlook
Company has mixed profitability — some years profitable, some at a loss. EPS trend is improving.
Revenue Estimates — AAP
85%
Analyst Accuracy
Accurate
2 years compared
Actual vs Estimate
2024
Actual $9.094B
vs Est $11.276B
▼ 24.0% off
2025
Actual $8.601B
vs Est $9.130B
▼ 6.1% off
Revenue Trend
Revenue has been relatively flat. Analysts forecast significant revenue growth ahead.
