SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) trades at a trailing P/E of 75.2, forward P/E of 30.8. Trailing earnings yield is 1.33%, forward earnings yield 3.24%. PEG 0.21 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $24.59.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (55/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
- Forward P/E 30.8 (down from trailing 75.2) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
- PEG Ratio 0.21 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
- Trailing Earnings Yield 1.33% — below bond yields — investors are paying a premium for expected growth rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 3.24% as earnings recover.
- Analyst consensus target $56.67 (+1.2% upside) — modest upside expected.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 44/100 with 0/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
~
VALUE
55/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
✗
HEALTH
33/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — AAP
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)75.2
Forward P/E30.8
PEG Ratio0.21
Forward PEG0.21
P/B Ratio1.51
P/S Ratio0.39
EV/EBITDA16.9
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$0.73
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.82
Book Value / Share$36.63
Revenue / Share$143.37
FCF / Share$-4.97
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield1.33%
Forward Earnings Yield3.24%
Dividend Yield1.81%
Graham Number$24.59
SharesGrow IV$7.10 (-87.3%)
Analyst Target$56.67 (+1.2%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
27.1 |
-7.59 |
4.27 |
1.30 |
0.14% |
| 2017 |
15.5 |
4.38 |
2.16 |
0.79 |
0.24% |
| 2018 |
27.0 |
-2.52 |
3.23 |
1.20 |
0.16% |
| 2019 |
23.0 |
1.18 |
3.16 |
1.16 |
0.15% |
| 2021 |
22.0 |
5.03 |
3.04 |
1.07 |
0.52% |
| 2022 |
25.7 |
0.75 |
4.91 |
1.40 |
1.05% |
| 2022 |
19.1 |
-0.96 |
3.41 |
0.97 |
3.79% |
| 2023 |
120.9 |
-1.29 |
1.44 |
0.39 |
5.77% |
| 2024 |
-7.8 |
0.01 |
1.21 |
0.29 |
2.28% |
| 2026 |
52.9 |
-0.47 |
1.06 |
0.27 |
2.58% |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2019 |
$6.84 |
$9.71B |
$486.9M |
5% |
| 2020 |
$7.14 |
$10.11B |
$493.02M |
4.9% |
| 2020 |
$7.14 |
$10.11B |
$493.02M |
4.9% |
| 2021 |
$9.55 |
$11B |
$596.62M |
5.4% |
| 2021 |
$9.55 |
$11B |
$596.62M |
5.4% |
| 2022 |
$8.27 |
$11.15B |
$464.4M |
4.2% |
| 2023 |
$0.50 |
$9.21B |
$29.74M |
0.3% |
| 2023 |
$0.50 |
$9.21B |
$30M |
0.3% |
| 2024 |
$-5.63 |
$9.09B |
$-335.79M |
-3.7% |
| 2025 |
$0.73 |
$8.6B |
$44M |
0.5% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$1.82 |
$1.79 – $1.84 |
$8.58B |
$8.56B – $8.6B |
18 |
| 2027 |
$2.76 |
$2.47 – $3.26 |
$8.55B |
$8.51B – $8.57B |
15 |
| 2028 |
$3.96 |
$3.46 – $4.52 |
$8.76B |
$8.67B – $8.81B |
14 |
| 2029 |
$4.81 |
$4.33 – $5.36 |
$8.95B |
$8.95B – $8.95B |
4 |
| 2030 |
$4.35 |
$4.27 – $4.41 |
$9.23B |
$9.1B – $9.34B |
2 |
