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Octave Specialty Group, Inc. OSG NYSE

NYSE • Financial Services • Insurance - Specialty • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
45/100
1/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$14.00
+224.1%

Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) is a Insurance - Specialty company in the Financial Services sector, currently trading at $4.32. It has a SharesGrow Score of 45/100, indicating a mixed investment profile with 1 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of OSG = $-55.54 (-1385.7% from the current price, the stock appears overvalued). Analyst consensus target is OSG = $14 (+224.1% upside).

Valuation: OSG trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of -0.7 (S&P 500 average ~25).

Financials: revenue is $251M, -14.8%/yr average growth. Net income is $241M (loss), growing at -266.4%/yr. Net profit margin is -95.9% (negative). Gross margin is 81.2% (+61.9 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $127M against $716M equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 0.18, conservative). Current ratio is 0.16 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 5.7%. Total assets: $2.2B.

Analyst outlook: 5 / 13 analysts rate OSG as buy (38%) — mixed sentiment.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 100/100 (Pass), Growth 15/100 (Fail), Past 50/100 (Partial), Health 33/100 (Fail), Moat 58/100 (Partial), Future 52/100 (Partial), Income 10/100 (Fail).

$14.00
▲ 224.07% Upside
Average Price Target
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Octave Specialty Group, Inc., the average price target is $14.00, with a high forecast of $18.00, and a low forecast of $10.00.
Highest Price Target
$18.00
Average Price Target
$14.00
Lowest Price Target
$10.00

OSG SharesGrow Score Overview

45/100
SharesGrow Score
Mixed signals — some strengths
View full scorecard →
VALUE 100/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 15/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 50/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 33/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 58/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 52/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 10/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — OSG

VALUE Pass
100/100
OSG trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of -0.7 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG -0.01 — Peter Lynch undervalued (≤1.0). Analyst consensus target is $14, implying +224.1% from the current price $4. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Fail
15/100
OSG: -14.8%/yr revenue is, -266.4%/yr Net income is average growth. weak. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Partial
50/100
OSG: 2 / 4 years profitable. weak. Score = 2 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
33/100
Balance sheet OSG: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 0.18 (conservative), Current ratio is 0.16 (tight liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
View details →
~
MOAT Partial
58/100
OSG: Gross margin is 81.2% (+61.9 pp trend), N/A market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 58/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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~
FUTURE Partial
52/100
Analyst outlook: 5 / 13 analysts rate OSG as buy (38%). Analyst consensus target is $14 (+224.1% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Fail
10/100
OSG: Net profit margin is -95.9%. negative. Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
View details →

Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range4.44-10.38
Volume884.8K
Avg Volume (30D)616.27K
Market Cap$194.19M
Beta (1Y)0.88
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-5.93
Shares Outstanding$47.18M
IPO Date2013-05-01
Employees380
CEOClaude LeBlanc
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$251.22M
Gross Profit$204.03M
EBITDA$-40.42M
Net Income$-240.92M
Operating Income$-101.01M
Total Cash$68.44M
Total Debt$127.41M
Net Debt$58.97M
Total Assets$2.22B
Price / Earnings (P/E)-0.7
Price / Sales (P/S)0.77
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$14.00
Target High$18.00
Target Low$10.00
Upside+224.1%
Rating ConsensusHold
Analysts Covering13
Buy 38% Hold 46% Sell 15%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS0231398845

Price Chart

OSG
Octave Specialty Group, Inc.  ·  NYSE
Financial Services • Insurance - Specialty
4.44 52WK RANGE 10.38
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