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Tesla, Inc. TSLA NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Consumer Cyclical • Auto - Manufacturers • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
58/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$649.92
+78.5%
Analyst Price Target
$451.31
+23.9%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) trades at a trailing P/E of 292.3, forward P/E of 186.2. Trailing earnings yield is 0.34%, forward earnings yield 0.54%. PEG 2.30. Graham Number is $26.03.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (32/100, Fail) — trailing P/E is well above the S&P 500 average of ~25, suggesting a premium valuation (P/E 292.3); trailing earnings yield is below the 10-year Treasury yield (~4.3%), meaning bonds offer a better return (EY 0.34%); PEG > 2.0 means the stock is expensive even after accounting for growth (PEG 2.30).
  • Forward P/E 186.2 (down from trailing 292.3) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 2.30 — above 2.0 suggests expensive relative to earnings growth.
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 0.34% — below bond yields — investors are paying a premium for expected growth rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 0.54% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $451.31 (+23.9% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 58/100 with 2/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
58/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
32/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
FUTURE
46/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
57/100
→ Income
~
GROWTH
40/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — TSLA

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)292.3
Forward P/E186.2
PEG Ratio2.30
Forward PEG2.30
P/B Ratio13.50
P/S Ratio13.58
EV/EBITDA108.8
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$1.17
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.96
Book Value / Share$25.65
Revenue / Share$29.35
FCF / Share$1.93
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield0.34%
Forward Earnings Yield0.54%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Graham Number$26.03
SharesGrow IV$649.92 (+78.5%)
Analyst Target$451.31 (+23.9%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 -45.7 1.40 6.49 4.40 -
2017 -26.3 -0.17 12.18 4.39 -
2018 -58.2 1.12 11.53 2.65 -
2019 -85.9 6.53 11.19 3.01 -
2020 913.1 -5.20 29.62 20.88 -
2021 188.7 0.29 34.53 19.37 -
2022 30.6 0.27 8.62 4.73 -
2023 52.6 2.98 12.59 8.15 -
2024 181.1 -3.43 17.71 13.22 -
2025 382.3 -8.12 17.66 15.29 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $-0.31 $7B $-674.91M -9.6%
2017 $-0.79 $11.76B $-1.96B -16.7%
2018 $-0.38 $21.46B $-976M -4.5%
2019 $-0.33 $24.58B $-862M -3.5%
2020 $0.21 $31.54B $721M 2.3%
2021 $1.63 $53.82B $5.52B 10.3%
2022 $3.62 $81.46B $12.58B 15.4%
2023 $4.30 $96.77B $15B 15.5%
2024 $2.04 $97.69B $7.13B 7.3%
2025 $1.08 $94.83B $3.79B 4%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $1.98 $1.16 – $3.02 $104.25B $94.32B – $117.96B 25
2027 $2.63 $1.42 – $3.47 $121.08B $109.13B – $135.99B 24
2028 $3.69 $1.34 – $10.91 $143.58B $142.27B – $144.89B 16
2029 $8.21 $6.95 – $10.54 $213.73B $188.54B – $260.4B 14
2030 $11.38 $9.64 – $14.61 $282.31B $249.03B – $343.96B 14
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