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Valero Energy Corporation VLO NYSE

NYSE • Energy • Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
50/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$472.70
+100.7%
Analyst Price Target
$197.29
-16.3%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) trades at a trailing P/E of 31.1, forward P/E of 11.3. Trailing earnings yield is 3.22%, forward earnings yield 8.84%. PEG 0.06 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $116.84.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (57/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
  • Forward P/E 11.3 (down from trailing 31.1) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.06 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 3.22% — roughly competitive with bond yields (~4.3%), moderate risk-reward. Forward yield improves to 8.84% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $197.29 (-16.3% downside) — analysts see meaningful downside risk at the current price level.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 50/100 with 2/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
50/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
~
VALUE
57/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
28/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
38/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — VLO

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)31.1
Forward P/E11.3
PEG Ratio0.06
Forward PEG0.06
P/B Ratio3.07
P/S Ratio0.58
EV/EBITDA11.8
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$7.75
Forward EPS (Est.)$20.82
Book Value / Share$78.30
Revenue / Share$409.39
FCF / Share$17.82
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield3.22%
Forward Earnings Yield8.84%
Dividend Yield1.91%
Graham Number$116.84
SharesGrow IV$472.70 (+100.7%)
Analyst Target$197.29 (-16.3%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 13.8 -0.36 1.57 0.42 3.53%
2017 10.0 0.12 1.85 0.43 3.06%
2018 10.2 -0.51 1.47 0.27 4.29%
2019 16.0 -0.79 1.77 0.36 3.86%
2020 -16.1 0.10 1.22 0.35 6.95%
2021 32.9 -0.20 1.66 0.27 5.24%
2022 4.3 0.00 2.13 0.28 3.12%
2023 5.2 -0.37 1.74 0.32 3.16%
2024 14.3 -0.22 1.61 0.30 3.51%
2025 21.4 -1.82 2.12 0.41 2.79%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $4.94 $75.66B $2.29B 3%
2017 $9.16 $93.98B $4.07B 4.3%
2018 $7.29 $117.03B $3.12B 2.7%
2019 $5.85 $108.32B $2.42B 2.2%
2020 $-2.72 $64.91B $-1.11B -1.7%
2021 $3.16 $113.98B $1.29B 1.1%
2022 $29.00 $176.38B $11.53B 6.5%
2023 $24.95 $144.77B $8.84B 6.1%
2024 $8.58 $129.88B $2.77B 2.1%
2025 $7.57 $122.69B $2.35B 1.9%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $18.91 $11.43 – $33.30 $120.79B $112.36B – $124.29B 12
2027 $16.80 $10.70 – $27.28 $117.09B $110.87B – $118.85B 12
2028 $17.97 $12.58 – $21.05 $118.33B $111.24B – $116.14B 4
2029 $29.30 $25.66 – $33.27 $150.56B $131.65B – $168.03B 2
2030 $31.80 $27.84 – $36.10 $158.47B $138.57B – $176.86B 2
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