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Ultrapar Participações S.A. UGP NYSE

NYSE • Energy • Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing • BR • USD

SharesGrow Score
56/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$8.32
+38.9%
Analyst Price Target
$5.40
-9.8%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) 当前追踪市盈率 (P/E) 为 13.1, 前瞻市盈率为 14.5. 追踪盈利收益率为 7.65%, 前瞻盈利收益率 6.91%. PEG 3.44. 格雷厄姆数为 $28.78.

本页证实的标准:

  • VALUE (76/100, 通过) — 市盈率低于市场平均水平 (13.1); 盈利收益率超过债券收益率 (7.65%).
  • PEG 比率 3.44 — 高于2.0表明相对于盈利增长偏贵。
  • 追踪盈利收益率 7.65% — 超过典型债券收益率(约4.3%),使股票相对固定收益更具吸引力。
  • 分析师共识目标价 $5.40 (-9.8% 下行风险) — 轻微下行风险 — 市场可能已超前于分析师预期。

SharesGrow 综合评分: 56/100 其中 2/7 项标准通过。

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
56/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
价值
76/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
未來
38/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
过去
100/100
→ Income
~
健康
50/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
护城河
47/100
→ Income
~
成长
48/100
→ Income
收入
30/100
→ Income

估值概览 — UGP

估值倍数
P/E (TTM)13.1
前瞻 P/E14.5
PEG 比率3.44
前瞻 PEG1.37
P/B 比率2.05
P/S 比率0.22
EV/EBITDA8.1
每股数据
EPS (TTM)$2.26
前瞻 EPS(预估)$0.41
每股账面价值$16.31
每股营收$130.94
每股自由现金流$2.58
收益率与内在价值
盈利收益率7.65%
Forward Earnings Yield6.91%
股息收益率4.41%
格雷厄姆数$28.78
SharesGrow 内在价值$8.32 (+38.9%)
分析师目标价$5.40 (-9.8%)

历史估值

Year P/E (TTM) PEG 比率 P/B 比率 P/S 比率 股息收益率
2016 52.2 -0.99 9.56 1.05 1.07%
2017 26.8 0.22 4.50 0.53 2.23%
2018 53.8 -0.81 6.55 0.68 1.31%
2019 158.4 -2.35 25.16 0.71 1.01%
2020 28.6 0.07 2.68 0.35 1.11%
2021 18.9 -3.86 1.58 0.15 4.40%
2022 7.8 0.07 1.19 0.10 4.57%
2023 11.9 0.35 2.15 0.23 1.38%
2024 7.7 -2.43 1.20 0.14 4.58%
2025 9.2 1.79 1.41 0.16 9.62%

EPS:实际 vs 预期

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

每股收益 (EPS) 历史

Year EPS(稀释) 营收 净利润 净利润率
2016 $0.65 $77.35B $1.56B 2%
2017 $1.44 $80.01B $1.57B 2%
2018 $0.49 $90.7B $1.15B 1.3%
2019 $0.34 $89.3B $373.53M 0.4%
2020 $0.82 $74.06B $893.38M 1.2%
2021 $0.78 $109.73B $850.46M 0.8%
2022 $1.64 $143.63B $1.8B 1.3%
2023 $2.21 $126.05B $2.44B 1.9%
2024 $2.11 $133.5B $2.36B 1.8%
2025 $2.19 $139.57B $2.41B 1.7%

分析师预期

Year EPS(平均) EPS 范围 营收(平均) 营收范围 分析师人数
2026 $0.41 $0.39 – $0.43 $146.17B $140.68B – $156.29B 1
2027 $0.49 $0.47 – $0.54 $151.7B $146B – $162.21B 1
2028 $0.60 $0.57 – $0.65 $157.35B $151.44B – $168.25B 1
2029 $0.61 $0.58 – $0.66 $161.66B $155.59B – $172.86B 1
2030 $0.62 $0.59 – $0.68 $171.15B $164.72B – $183B 1
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