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Ultrapar Participações S.A. UGP NYSE

NYSE • Energy • Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing • BR • USD

SharesGrow Score
56/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$8.32
+38.9%
Analyst Price Target
$5.40
-9.8%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) trades at a trailing P/E of 13.1, forward P/E of 14.5. Trailing earnings yield is 7.65%, forward earnings yield 6.91%. PEG 3.44. Graham Number is $28.78.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (76/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (13.1); earnings yield beats bond yields (7.65%).
  • PEG Ratio 3.44 — above 2.0 suggests expensive relative to earnings growth.
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 7.65% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income.
  • Analyst consensus target $5.40 (-9.8% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 56/100 with 2/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
56/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
76/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
38/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
~
HEALTH
50/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
47/100
→ Income
~
GROWTH
48/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — UGP

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)13.1
Forward P/E14.5
PEG Ratio3.44
Forward PEG1.37
P/B Ratio2.05
P/S Ratio0.22
EV/EBITDA8.1
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$2.26
Forward EPS (Est.)$0.41
Book Value / Share$16.31
Revenue / Share$130.94
FCF / Share$2.58
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield7.65%
Forward Earnings Yield6.91%
Dividend Yield4.41%
Graham Number$28.78
SharesGrow IV$8.32 (+38.9%)
Analyst Target$5.40 (-9.8%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 52.2 -0.99 9.56 1.05 1.07%
2017 26.8 0.22 4.50 0.53 2.23%
2018 53.8 -0.81 6.55 0.68 1.31%
2019 158.4 -2.35 25.16 0.71 1.01%
2020 28.6 0.07 2.68 0.35 1.11%
2021 18.9 -3.86 1.58 0.15 4.40%
2022 7.8 0.07 1.19 0.10 4.57%
2023 11.9 0.35 2.15 0.23 1.38%
2024 7.7 -2.43 1.20 0.14 4.58%
2025 9.2 1.79 1.41 0.16 9.62%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $0.65 $77.35B $1.56B 2%
2017 $1.44 $80.01B $1.57B 2%
2018 $0.49 $90.7B $1.15B 1.3%
2019 $0.34 $89.3B $373.53M 0.4%
2020 $0.82 $74.06B $893.38M 1.2%
2021 $0.78 $109.73B $850.46M 0.8%
2022 $1.64 $143.63B $1.8B 1.3%
2023 $2.21 $126.05B $2.44B 1.9%
2024 $2.11 $133.5B $2.36B 1.8%
2025 $2.19 $139.57B $2.41B 1.7%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $0.41 $0.39 – $0.43 $146.17B $140.68B – $156.29B 1
2027 $0.49 $0.47 – $0.54 $151.7B $146B – $162.21B 1
2028 $0.60 $0.57 – $0.65 $157.35B $151.44B – $168.25B 1
2029 $0.61 $0.58 – $0.66 $161.66B $155.59B – $172.86B 1
2030 $0.62 $0.59 – $0.68 $171.15B $164.72B – $183B 1
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