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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Restaurants • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
70/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$50.31
+44%
Analyst Price Target
$44.35
+27%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) trades at a trailing P/E of 28.8, forward P/E of 30.6. Trailing earnings yield is 3.47%, forward earnings yield 3.26%. PEG 10.68. Graham Number is $7.52.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (57/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
  • PEG Ratio 10.68 — above 2.0 suggests expensive relative to earnings growth.
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 3.47% — roughly competitive with bond yields (~4.3%), moderate risk-reward.
  • Analyst consensus target $44.35 (+27% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 70/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
70/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
~
VALUE
57/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
79/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
~
HEALTH
50/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
59/100
→ Income
GROWTH
90/100
→ Income
~
INCOME
55/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — CMG

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)28.8
Forward P/E30.6
PEG Ratio10.68
Forward PEG1.69
P/B Ratio15.64
P/S Ratio3.73
EV/EBITDA22.8
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$1.17
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.14
Book Value / Share$2.15
Revenue / Share$9.07
FCF / Share$1.10
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield3.47%
Forward Earnings Yield3.26%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Graham Number$7.52
SharesGrow IV$50.31 (+44%)
Analyst Target$44.35 (+27%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 481.6 -5.07 7.88 2.83 -
2017 46.7 0.07 6.03 1.84 -
2018 68.1 8.17 8.34 2.47 -
2019 66.3 0.72 13.80 4.16 -
2020 108.8 0.00 19.16 6.47 -
2021 75.3 0.90 21.41 6.52 -
2022 43.0 1.04 16.32 4.48 -
2023 51.3 1.39 20.58 6.38 -
2024 53.8 2.08 22.57 7.29 -
2025 32.2 12.03 17.48 4.15 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $0.02 $3.9B $22.94M 0.6%
2017 $0.12 $4.48B $176.25M 3.9%
2018 $0.13 $4.86B $176.55M 3.6%
2019 $0.25 $5.59B $350.16M 6.3%
2020 $0.25 $5.98B $355.77M 5.9%
2021 $0.46 $7.55B $652.98M 8.7%
2022 $0.64 $8.63B $899.1M 10.4%
2023 $0.89 $9.87B $1.23B 12.4%
2024 $1.11 $11.31B $1.53B 13.6%
2025 $1.14 $11.93B $1.54B 12.9%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $1.14 $1.07 – $1.20 $12.95B $12.83B – $13.07B 23
2027 $1.36 $1.27 – $1.47 $14.38B $14.2B – $14.55B 23
2028 $1.64 $1.53 – $1.77 $16.06B $16.03B – $16.1B 6
2029 $2.00 $1.96 – $2.04 $18.08B $17.82B – $18.4B 4
2030 $2.22 $2.18 – $2.27 $19.5B $19.21B – $19.84B 2
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