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XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO NYSE

NYSE • Industrials • Integrated Freight & Logistics • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
49/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$164.51
-22.6%
Analyst Price Target
$190.33
-10.5%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO) trades at a trailing P/E of 79.1, forward P/E of 47.2. Trailing earnings yield is 1.26%, forward earnings yield 2.12%. PEG 0.67 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $31.10.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (25/100, Fail) — trailing P/E is well above the S&P 500 average of ~25, suggesting a premium valuation (P/E 79.1); analyst consensus target implies downside from the current price ($190.33, 10.5%).
  • Forward P/E 47.2 (down from trailing 79.1) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.67 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 1.26% — below bond yields — investors are paying a premium for expected growth rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 2.12% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $190.33 (-10.5% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 49/100 with 2/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
49/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
25/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
37/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
33/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
43/100
→ Income
GROWTH
73/100
→ Income
INCOME
30/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — XPO

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)79.1
Forward P/E47.2
PEG Ratio0.67
Forward PEG0.67
P/B Ratio13.43
P/S Ratio3.07
EV/EBITDA25.3
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$2.70
Forward EPS (Est.)$4.51
Book Value / Share$15.91
Revenue / Share$69.71
FCF / Share$2.78
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield1.26%
Forward Earnings Yield2.12%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Graham Number$31.10
SharesGrow IV$164.51 (-22.6%)
Analyst Target$190.33 (-10.5%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 23.8 -0.20 0.61 0.11 0.33%
2017 10.7 0.03 1.01 0.24 0.08%
2018 5.8 0.35 0.68 0.14 0.33%
2019 6.3 0.26 0.96 0.25 0.30%
2020 34.5 -0.44 1.40 0.61 -
2021 15.3 0.06 4.53 0.72 -
2022 5.7 0.06 3.78 0.50 -
2023 53.8 -0.75 8.03 1.31 -
2024 39.3 0.37 9.51 1.88 -
2025 50.8 -2.61 8.62 1.97 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $0.53 $14.62B $69M 0.5%
2017 $2.45 $15.38B $340.2M 2.2%
2018 $3.13 $17.28B $422M 2.4%
2019 $3.95 $16.65B $419M 2.5%
2020 $1.20 $16.25B $110M 0.7%
2021 $2.95 $12.81B $336M 2.6%
2022 $1.59 $7.72B $184M 2.4%
2023 $1.60 $7.74B $189M 2.4%
2024 $3.23 $8.07B $387M 4.8%
2025 $2.64 $8.16B $316M 3.9%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $4.49 $4.31 – $4.82 $8.53B $8.38B – $8.63B 15
2027 $5.79 $5.32 – $6.06 $9.07B $8.96B – $9.23B 15
2028 $7.10 $7.02 – $7.17 $9.61B $9.61B – $9.62B 2
2029 $9.36 $8.94 – $9.61 $10.18B $9.83B – $10.39B 1
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