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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust PMT NYSE

NYSE • Real Estate • REIT - Mortgage • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
60/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$31.93
+164.5%
Analyst Price Target
$13.50
+11.8%

The estimated intrinsic value of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) using a Price-to-Funds From Operations (P/FFO) model is $31.93 (based on the recommended P/FFO method), compared to the current stock price of $12.07. This suggests the stock may be undervalued by 164.5% relative to its intrinsic value.

For Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), standard DCF models can be misleading because depreciation — a large non-cash charge — distorts net income. Instead, SharesGrow uses a Price-to-FFO (Funds From Operations) model: Intrinsic Value = FFO Per Share × 17 (sector-average P/FFO multiple). FFO adds back depreciation to net income, providing a more accurate picture of a REIT's recurring cash-generating ability — the industry-standard metric for REIT valuation.

The valuation uses a CAPM-derived discount rate of 6.47% (CAPM-derived from beta of 1.22).

ℹ Why does our Intrinsic Value (IV) differ from analyst targets?
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates Intrinsic Value (IV) at $31.93, while the analyst consensus target is $13.50 — a 136.5% gap.
  • High debt relative to cash flow. Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model deducts net debt from the present value of future cash flows, which significantly reduces equity value per share. Analyst price targets typically do not subtract debt in the same way.
Tip: Try adjusting the growth rate and discount rate below to see how different assumptions affect the valuation.
DCF-20 Year
PMT

Intrinsic Value Calculator — PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust

USD 12.07 ▲ 1.00%
FFO Per Share
USD
P/FFO Multiple
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Formula: IV = FFO Per Share × P/FFO Multiple
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Intrinsic value
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Intrinsic Price
USD
Stock Price
USD 12.07
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