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Upstart Holdings, Inc. UPST NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Financial Services • Financial - Credit Services • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
55/100
2/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
N/A
Negative cash flow
Analyst Price Target
$45.17
+53%

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) is a Financial - Credit Services company in the Financial Services sector, currently trading at $29.53. It has a SharesGrow Score of 55/100, indicating a above average investment profile with 2 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of UPST = $-11.50 (-139% from the current price, the stock appears overvalued). Analyst consensus target is UPST = $45 (+53% upside).

Valuation: UPST trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 48.6 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 1.04.

Financials: revenue is $1.1B, +18.5%/yr average growth. Net income is $54M, growing at +22.4%/yr. Net profit margin is 5% (thin). Gross margin is 95.2% (-4.8 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $1.9B against $799M equity (Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 2.32, leveraged). Current ratio is 2.99 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 62.2%. Total assets: $3.0B.

Analyst outlook: 10 / 22 analysts rate UPST as buy (45%) — mixed sentiment.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 76/100 (Pass), Growth 90/100 (Pass), Past 25/100 (Fail), Health 33/100 (Fail), Moat 65/100 (Partial), Future 52/100 (Partial), Income 45/100 (Partial).

$45.17
▲ 52.96% Upside
Average Price Target
Based on 22 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Upstart Holdings, Inc., the average price target is $45.17, with a high forecast of $56.00, and a low forecast of $30.00.
Highest Price Target
$56.00
Average Price Target
$45.17
Lowest Price Target
$30.00

UPST SharesGrow Score Overview

55/100
SharesGrow Score
Above average fundamentals
View full scorecard →
VALUE 76/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 90/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 25/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 33/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 65/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 52/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 45/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — UPST

VALUE Pass
76/100
UPST trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 48.6 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 1.04 — ~moderate (~1.5). Trailing PEG 0.73. Analyst consensus target is $45, implying +52.4% from the current price $30. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Pass
90/100
UPST: +18.5%/yr revenue is, +22.4%/yr Net income is average growth. > 5%/yr — strong. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Fail
25/100
UPST: 1 / 4 years profitable. weak. Score = 1 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Fail
33/100
Balance sheet UPST: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio 2.32 (leveraged), Current ratio is 2.99 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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MOAT Partial
65/100
UPST: Gross margin is 95.2% (-4.8 pp trend), $3B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 65/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Partial
52/100
Analyst outlook: 10 / 22 analysts rate UPST as buy (45%). Analyst consensus target is $45 (+52.4% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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INCOME Partial
45/100
UPST: Net profit margin is 5%. thin (5-15%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range23.965-87.3
Volume4.13M
Avg Volume (30D)5.04M
Market Cap$2.9B
Beta (1Y)2.16
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.56
Shares Outstanding$96.03M
IPO Date2020-12-16
Employees1,193
CEODavid J. Girouard
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$1.08B
Gross Profit$1.02B
EBITDA$79.16M
Net Income$53.6M
Operating Income$54.33M
Total Cash$657.45M
Total Debt$1.85B
Net Debt$1.19B
Total Assets$2.97B
Price / Earnings (P/E)52.7
Price / Sales (P/S)2.69
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$47.00
Target High$56.00
Target Low$30.00
Upside+59.2%
Rating ConsensusBuy
Analysts Covering22
Buy 45% Hold 45% Sell 9%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ Global Select
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS91680M1071

Price Chart

UPST
Upstart Holdings, Inc.  ·  NASDAQ Global Select
Financial Services • Financial - Credit Services
23.97 52WK RANGE 87.30
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