Intrinsic Value of S&P & Nasdaq Contact Us

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF NYSE

NYSE • Basic Materials • Agricultural Inputs • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
58/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$163.72
+37.6%
Analyst Price Target
$91.71
-22.9%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) trades at a trailing P/E of 13.4, forward P/E of 9.9. Trailing earnings yield is 7.45%, forward earnings yield 10.07%. PEG 0.41 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $102.34.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (45/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
  • Forward P/E 9.9 (down from trailing 13.4) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.41 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 7.45% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 10.07% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $91.71 (-22.9% downside) — analysts see meaningful downside risk at the current price level.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 58/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
58/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
~
VALUE
45/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
28/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
51/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
INCOME
85/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — CF

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)13.4
Forward P/E9.9
PEG Ratio0.41
Forward PEG0.30
P/B Ratio4.04
P/S Ratio2.72
EV/EBITDA6.4
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$9.33
Forward EPS (Est.)$11.98
Book Value / Share$49.87
Revenue / Share$45.44
FCF / Share$11.56
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield7.45%
Forward Earnings Yield10.07%
Dividend Yield1.60%
Graham Number$102.34
SharesGrow IV$163.72 (+37.6%)
Analyst Target$91.71 (-22.9%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 -26.5 0.19 2.19 1.99 3.82%
2017 27.7 -0.12 2.78 2.41 2.82%
2018 34.9 -1.91 3.42 2.29 2.77%
2019 21.3 0.27 3.63 2.29 2.52%
2020 26.2 -0.77 2.85 2.02 3.10%
2021 16.6 0.09 4.75 2.33 1.71%
2022 5.2 0.02 3.43 1.55 1.77%
2023 10.1 -0.19 2.69 2.32 2.02%
2024 12.6 -0.87 3.09 2.59 2.36%
2025 8.6 0.26 2.59 1.77 2.60%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $-1.19 $3.69B $-277M -7.5%
2017 $1.53 $4.13B $358M 8.7%
2018 $1.24 $4.43B $290M 6.5%
2019 $2.22 $4.59B $493M 10.7%
2020 $2.01 $4.12B $432M 10.5%
2021 $5.83 $6.54B $1.26B 19.3%
2022 $16.39 $11.19B $3.35B 29.9%
2023 $7.87 $6.63B $1.53B 23%
2024 $6.74 $5.94B $1.22B 20.5%
2025 $8.97 $7.08B $1.46B 20.5%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $10.80 $9.27 – $15.12 $7.12B $6.74B – $7.42B 6
2027 $8.38 $5.86 – $10.46 $6.63B $5.92B – $8.46B 8
2028 $8.17 $5.62 – $11.39 $6.53B $6.48B – $6.58B 5
2029 $7.07 $6.14 – $9.06 $6.27B $5.63B – $7.62B 1
2030 $7.27 $6.31 – $9.32 $6.4B $5.75B – $7.79B 1
Contact Us
🎓
SharesGrow Academy
Learn how to calculate Intrinsic Value and find undervalued stocks.
Weekly live sessions
Send us a message