SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) trades at a trailing P/E of 9.7, forward P/E of 15.7. Trailing earnings yield is 10.31%, forward earnings yield 6.39%. PEG 0.01 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $21.24.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (91/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (9.7); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.01); analyst target implies upside (+36.9%); earnings yield beats bond yields (10.31%).
- PEG Ratio 0.01 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
- Trailing Earnings Yield 10.31% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income.
- Analyst consensus target $24.50 (+36.9% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 68/100 with 4/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
✓
VALUE
91/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
HEALTH
50/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — GEO
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)9.7
Forward P/E15.7
PEG Ratio0.01
Forward PEG0.28
P/B Ratio1.64
P/S Ratio0.91
EV/EBITDA6.9
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$1.84
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.14
Book Value / Share$10.89
Revenue / Share$19.05
FCF / Share$-0.90
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield10.31%
Forward Earnings Yield6.39%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Graham Number$21.24
SharesGrow IV$15.38 (-14.1%)
Analyst Target$24.50 (+36.9%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
17.9 |
2.82 |
2.73 |
1.22 |
7.32% |
| 2017 |
19.4 |
-2.16 |
2.36 |
1.25 |
8.03% |
| 2018 |
16.3 |
-19.92 |
2.28 |
1.02 |
9.69% |
| 2019 |
11.9 |
0.76 |
1.98 |
0.80 |
11.76% |
| 2020 |
9.4 |
-0.29 |
1.16 |
0.45 |
20.38% |
| 2021 |
12.1 |
-0.32 |
0.96 |
0.41 |
3.27% |
| 2022 |
7.7 |
0.08 |
1.14 |
0.56 |
- |
| 2023 |
12.3 |
-0.32 |
1.02 |
0.55 |
- |
| 2024 |
114.9 |
-1.68 |
2.75 |
1.52 |
- |
| 2025 |
8.9 |
0.01 |
1.50 |
0.86 |
- |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2016 |
$1.33 |
$2.18B |
$148.72M |
6.8% |
| 2017 |
$1.21 |
$2.26B |
$146.24M |
6.5% |
| 2018 |
$1.20 |
$2.33B |
$145.09M |
6.2% |
| 2019 |
$1.40 |
$2.48B |
$166.6M |
6.7% |
| 2020 |
$0.94 |
$2.35B |
$113.03M |
4.8% |
| 2021 |
$0.58 |
$2.26B |
$77.42M |
3.4% |
| 2022 |
$1.17 |
$2.38B |
$171.81M |
7.2% |
| 2023 |
$0.72 |
$2.41B |
$107.33M |
4.4% |
| 2024 |
$0.23 |
$2.42B |
$31.97M |
1.3% |
| 2025 |
$1.82 |
$2.63B |
$254.37M |
9.7% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$1.14 |
$1.01 – $1.22 |
$2.96B |
$2.91B – $3B |
3 |
| 2027 |
$1.78 |
$1.76 – $1.79 |
$3.26B |
$3.21B – $3.32B |
2 |
