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Harley-Davidson, Inc. HOG NYSE

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Auto - Recreational Vehicles • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
58/100
3/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$59.41
+156.4%
Analyst Price Target
$22.00
-5%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) trades at a trailing P/E of 7.3, forward P/E of 55.9. Trailing earnings yield is 13.74%, forward earnings yield 1.79%. PEG 0.37 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $42.91.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (80/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (7.3); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.37); earnings yield beats bond yields (13.74%).
  • PEG Ratio 0.37 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 13.74% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income.
  • Analyst consensus target $22.00 (-5% downside) — slight downside risk — the market may be ahead of analyst expectations.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 58/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
58/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
80/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
26/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
83/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
56/100
→ Income
GROWTH
15/100
→ Income
~
INCOME
45/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — HOG

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)7.3
Forward P/E55.9
PEG Ratio0.37
Forward PEG0.37
P/B Ratio0.78
P/S Ratio0.57
EV/EBITDA4.2
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$2.96
Forward EPS (Est.)$0.41
Book Value / Share$27.62
Revenue / Share$39.13
FCF / Share$3.63
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield13.74%
Forward Earnings Yield1.79%
Dividend Yield3.37%
Graham Number$42.91
SharesGrow IV$59.41 (+156.4%)
Analyst Target$22.00 (-5%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 15.1 4.01 5.46 1.75 2.41%
2017 16.8 -0.79 4.75 1.55 2.88%
2018 10.6 1.79 3.19 0.99 4.35%
2019 13.8 -0.87 3.24 1.09 4.06%
2020 4,331.2 -43.45 3.26 1.39 1.21%
2021 8.9 0.00 2.27 1.09 1.60%
2022 8.3 0.45 2.12 1.07 1.51%
2023 7.4 -7.44 1.61 0.90 1.84%
2024 8.7 -0.29 1.25 0.76 2.30%
2025 7.3 -0.39 0.78 0.55 3.51%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $3.83 $6B $692.16M 11.5%
2017 $3.02 $5.65B $521.76M 9.2%
2018 $3.19 $5.72B $531.45M 9.3%
2019 $2.68 $5.36B $423.64M 7.9%
2020 $0.01 $4.05B $1.3M 0%
2021 $4.19 $5.34B $650.02M 12.2%
2022 $4.96 $5.76B $741.41M 12.9%
2023 $4.87 $5.84B $706.59M 12.1%
2024 $3.44 $5.19B $455.36M 8.8%
2025 $2.78 $4.47B $338.74M 7.6%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $0.35 $0.00 – $1.07 $3.74B $3.72B – $3.78B 8
2027 $1.57 $0.65 – $3.34 $3.86B $3.82B – $3.9B 10
2028 $2.58 $1.59 – $3.26 $4.15B $3.97B – $4.32B 3
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