SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) trades at a trailing P/E of 12.7, forward P/E of 12.6. Trailing earnings yield is 7.90%, forward earnings yield 7.94%. PEG 0.35 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $21.15.
Criteria proven by this page:
- VALUE (56/100, Partial) — mixed signals — some valuation metrics are favorable while others are stretched.
- Forward P/E 12.6 (down from trailing 12.7) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
- PEG Ratio 0.35 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
- Trailing Earnings Yield 7.90% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 7.94% as earnings recover.
- Analyst consensus target $54.00 (+103.8% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.
Overall SharesGrow Score: 61/100 with 3/7 criteria passed.
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
~
VALUE
56/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
HEALTH
50/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
Valuation Snapshot — NGVC
Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)12.7
Forward P/E12.6
PEG Ratio0.35
Forward PEG2.38
P/B Ratio2.75
P/S Ratio0.45
EV/EBITDA9.5
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$2.08
Forward EPS (Est.)$2.11
Book Value / Share$9.56
Revenue / Share$58.07
FCF / Share$4.05
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield7.90%
Forward Earnings Yield7.94%
Dividend Yield2.05%
Graham Number$21.15
SharesGrow IV$19.15 (-27.7%)
Analyst Target$54.00 (+103.8%)
Historical Valuation
| Year |
P/E (TTM) |
PEG Ratio |
P/B Ratio |
P/S Ratio |
Dividend Yield |
| 2016 |
21.9 |
-0.75 |
1.98 |
0.36 |
- |
| 2017 |
18.2 |
-0.46 |
0.94 |
0.16 |
- |
| 2018 |
28.6 |
0.34 |
2.47 |
0.43 |
- |
| 2019 |
23.8 |
-0.90 |
1.43 |
0.25 |
- |
| 2020 |
11.1 |
0.10 |
1.28 |
0.21 |
2.84% |
| 2021 |
12.3 |
5.48 |
1.78 |
0.24 |
20.30% |
| 2022 |
11.4 |
3.47 |
1.57 |
0.22 |
3.71% |
| 2023 |
12.6 |
1.48 |
1.72 |
0.26 |
3.10% |
| 2024 |
19.9 |
0.43 |
3.88 |
0.54 |
4.71% |
| 2025 |
19.8 |
0.56 |
4.32 |
0.69 |
1.20% |
P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield
Earnings Per Share (EPS) History
| Year |
EPS (Diluted) |
Revenue |
Net Income |
Net Margin |
| 2016 |
$0.51 |
$705.5M |
$11.47M |
1.6% |
| 2017 |
$0.31 |
$769.03M |
$6.89M |
0.9% |
| 2018 |
$0.56 |
$849.04M |
$12.66M |
1.5% |
| 2019 |
$0.42 |
$903.58M |
$9.42M |
1% |
| 2020 |
$0.89 |
$1.04B |
$20.01M |
1.9% |
| 2021 |
$0.91 |
$1.06B |
$20.58M |
1.9% |
| 2022 |
$0.94 |
$1.09B |
$21.37M |
2% |
| 2023 |
$1.02 |
$1.14B |
$23.24M |
2% |
| 2024 |
$1.47 |
$1.24B |
$33.94M |
2.7% |
| 2025 |
$2.00 |
$1.33B |
$46.44M |
3.5% |
Analyst Estimates
| Year |
EPS (Avg) |
EPS Range |
Revenue (Avg) |
Revenue Range |
Analysts |
| 2026 |
$2.11 |
$2.02 – $2.18 |
$1.39B |
$1.38B – $1.41B |
1 |
| 2027 |
$2.23 |
$2.10 – $2.35 |
$1.49B |
$1.46B – $1.52B |
1 |
| 2028 |
$2.25 |
$2.21 – $2.29 |
$1.53B |
$1.51B – $1.55B |
1 |
| 2029 |
$2.35 |
$2.31 – $2.39 |
$1.62B |
$1.59B – $1.64B |
1 |
| 2030 |
$2.48 |
$2.44 – $2.52 |
$1.7B |
$1.68B – $1.73B |
1 |
